2023-11-13 03:10:31
Cathay Real Estate recently released an index for the third quarter of this year, which showed that the 30-day sales rate of new cases nationwide in the third quarter was “flat”, with only 8.3% in July, 8.4% in August, and only 12.2% in September. The average new case opening was 30 Less than 10% will be sold within a day.
The sales rate is so poor, but the market price is still stable, and the transaction prices of new projects in New Taipei and Taoyuan are even rising.
Why is the sales rate so poor, but the industry doesn’t lower prices?Real estate scholar Zhang Dingxuan said that the reason is that Taiwanhousing marketThere are no real shorts.
He said that if the stock market is not good, if you are bearish on the stock market, you can borrow bonds to sell them.
However, in the real estate market, most people are bearish and cannot “borrow” a house to sell. The most they can do is “not buy it.”But it’s hard not to buy ithouse priceIf the price falls, unless the seller is sure that the buyer will not buy for a long time, he will wait and not lower the price.
Therefore, even if you enter a market that everyone is bearish on, the volume will only shrink but the price will not fall.
On the contrary, if a relatively large number of people in Taiwan are bullish on the housing market, buyers will buy and sellers will be reluctant to sell, and housing prices will soon skyrocket.
Zhang Dingxuan said that what can really make Taiwan’s real estate market fall is the occurrence of “more than more”, that is, the original bullish buyers intensively sell their inventory, causing other bullish buyers to follow suit.
This situation mostly occurs when the inventory of remaining houses in the market has become so large that it is difficult to circulate funds, or when people are desperate for subsequent purchases, for exampleTSMCnot coming.
As long as there are still people at the case site and as long as there are still topics that can be speculated on, it will be difficult for Taiwan’s real estate market to see a relatively large price downward revision. If you want to find a bargain, it’s more likely to go to the new existing housing market where housing is intensively handed over.Source/Cathay Real Estate Index
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