Putin’s war has no future
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The Russian-Ukrainian War (Russo-Uk War), which was started on February 24 by Russian President Vladimir Putin, is about to pass 50 days.
It was widely believed that “Russia has the largest and strongest army in the world” before the start of the war, as much has been said about the modernization and strengthening of the Russian army over the last decade.
Although military power is less than that of the United States, it was thought to be capable of conquering weak military nations such as Ukraine.
Putin apparently dreamed of occupying the capital Kyiv, overthrowing the Volodymyr Zelensky administration, establishing a Russian puppet government, and building Russia-controlled Ukraine in two days, but the attempt failed brilliantly.
After a seven-week war in Ukraine, Russian troops were unable to occupy the capital, Kyiv, and were forced to withdraw with great damage.
The reputation of the Russian Armed Forces has fallen to the ground. And now, Russian troops are stalled with hopeless dramatic success in other parts of Ukraine.
Putin’s war on Russia, contrary to Putin’s intentions, resulted in strengthening the cohesion of democratic camps such as the United States, and made Russia’s isolation in the international community decisive.
Moreover, severe economic sanctions on Russia by democracies will cause enormous damage to Russia’s economy, and Russia’s national power is likely to gradually decline.
Even economic sanctions against Russia’s merger of the Crimea Peninsula in 2014 had a major impact on Russia’s manufacturing industry, especially the military industry, making it difficult to manufacture weapons that required parts from Western countries.
For example, Russia’s latest tank, the Armata (T-14), abandoned mass production (the original plan was to produce 2,300 cars by 2020) due to lack of parts from Western countries.
Here is the answer to the question “Why Armata does not appear on the battlefield” by military experts around the world.
Economic sanctions in 2022 are incomparably stricter than in 2014.
Russia, where semiconductors and bearings are not available from the west and cannot manufacture state-of-the-art military equipment, will no longer be a military power.
Come to think of it, Putin’s historic misjudgment could put the global balance of power in favor of the democratic camp. I’m happy.