Overconfidence in non-regular warfare led to failure in the initial operation, failure to cooperate with regular warfare
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If cooperation succeeds, Ukraine will be conquered in a short period of time
In the war between Russia and Ukraine, “hybrid warfare＊1It is easy to get the impression that the battle was ultimately decided by regular warfare, where missiles and artillery shells flew about.
So why didn’t Russia launch hybrid warfare on a large scale?
Or is it because Ukraine saw through the operation and it didn’t work?
＊1＝We define the fear of various capabilities being operated by a “multi-dimensional approach that does not resort to head-on warfare” as a “hybrid threat,” and in the case of “hybrid warfare,” we use both military and non-military means. (Goro Matsumura, former Chief of the Tohoku Area of the Ground Self-Defense Force).
About half a year has passed since the start of the Russian invasion, and little by little the invisible war (irregular warfare) that Russia has been waging has become visible.
In July, the Ukrainian General Staff began to report information on irregular warfare and cyber warfare by the Russian military.
The fact that Russia’s unconventional warfare was carried out can be found in JBpress “Unconventional Warfare Conducted by Russia in the Invasion of Ukraine, Its Despicable Reality” (August 11, 2022,https://jbpress.ismedia.jp/articles/-/71338) as explained in
This time, we took the irregular warfare one step further.
The nature of irregular warfare is linked to ground warfare. Had it been successful, it seems likely that all of Ukraine could have been occupied.
For this reason, I thought it necessary to reconsider the purpose of the operation by connecting it with the irregular warfare and the Russian ground invasion.
I will analyze by superimposing irregular warfare and regular warfare.