2023-06-19 05:23:03
Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly signed and issued a joint statement on the followingnoon of March 21. Figure: Dazhi Image / Archyde.com (file photo)
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine with its superior military strength has not progressed smoothly. The Russian army suffered heavy casualties, and the frontline battle situation is urgent. Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has repeatedly threatened nuclear weapons before, announced on the 9th that he will start deploying tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus following special storage facilities are ready on July 7-8. Belarusian President Lukashenko (Alexander Lukashenko) told the media a few days ago that Russian tactical nuclear weapons are arriving in Belarus one following another. Experts on the international situation bluntly said that Putin’s move bankrupted the CCP’s attempt to pretend to be a war mediator, and it also showed that Putin only cared regarding his own interests, and did not really take the top leader of the CCP, Xi Jinping, seriously.
China and Russia once opposed the transfer of nuclear weapons to a third country in the signed agreement, and Putin has unilaterally tore up the agreement reached with Xi Jinping. Lukashenko claimed in an interview with the media on the 13th that Belarus will receive tactical nuclear weapons from Russia within a few days, and relevant preparations have been completed. Some of these weapons were three times more powerful than the atomic bombs the US dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Japan in 1945. It is the first time Russia has deployed the shorter-range, less powerful nuclear weapons outside its territory since the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Lukashenko is a close ally of Putin. When Putin met with him in Russia on the 9th, he stated that following the completion of the construction of supporting facilities, Russia will start transporting strategic nuclear weapons to Belarus from July 7 to 8. Putin previously announced on March 25 this year that he would deploy tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus. This has apparently intensified Russia’s confrontation with the U.S. and NATO military alliance, which has provided Ukraine with billions of dollars in weapons to help Ukraine repel Russia’s invading forces. And just a few days before Putin issued the above statement, the CCP and Russia issued a joint statement that clearly stated that nuclear-weapon states should not deploy nuclear weapons abroad.
Xi Jinping quickly visited Russia following his third re-election. On the followingnoon of March 21, he and Putin jointly signed and issued a joint statement declaring that the comprehensive strategic partnership between China and Russia in the new era “has reached the highest level in history and continues to move forward.” China and Russia Treating each other as priority partners, Russia needs the CCP, and the CCP needs Russia. On the issue of nuclear weapons, the two sides emphasized in their statement that a nuclear war “can neither be won nor fought.” All nuclear-weapon states should refrain from deploying nuclear weapons abroad and should withdraw nuclear weapons deployed abroad. They must abide by their obligations under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and will continue to collaborate.
According to a report by The Epoch Times, Li Yuanhua, former associate professor of Capital Normal University, mentioned in an interview that Putin’s deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus is actually a hint to the United States and free society that he will use nuclear weapons if he is unfavorable on the battlefield. It directly led to the bankruptcy of the CCP’s disguise. The agreement signed between Putin and Xi Jinping was the result of mutual use by China and Russia, and no one took the signed agreement seriously. He said: “Russia has not kept its promises, but at the same time, Xi Jinping’s promises to Putin may not be fully fulfilled, so both sides know it well. The treaty is just a superficial means, and it is for other countries to see.”
Li Yuanhua also said that Russia is currently facing a strong counterattack from Ukraine and is at a military disadvantage, but it has nuclear weapons. Russia’s deployment of nuclear weapons not only on its home soil, but also outside its homeland, actually shows its intention to confront the free world. Li Yuanhua further said: “Russia’s unilateral tearing up of the agreement is tantamount to blatantly slapping the CCP in the face, and the CCP’s image of trying to pretend to be a war mediator has also gone bankrupt. This incident also reminds all countries in the world that dictatorships have nuclear weapons and are harmful to world peace. pose a great threat.”
Tang Jingyuan, an expert on China issues in the United States, analyzed that when Putin and Xi Jinping signed the agreement, the clause that nuclear weapons should not be deployed abroad was actually aimed at the United States, because only the United States has deployed some tactical nuclear weapons in Europe, but that was used during the Cold War. To counter the legacy of the Soviet nuclear threat. Now Putin is deploying nuclear weapons abroad during wars of invading other countries, which is equivalent to slapping Xi Jinping who came to visit. His reneging on his word and gaining weight not only blatantly violated his promise and the international treaty on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, but also shows that he does not really take Xi Jinping seriously.
Tang Jingyuan pointed out that the most fundamental reason why Putin deployed tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus is that Russia has become increasingly passive on the Ukrainian battlefield. With Ukraine’s counter-offensive, Russia may not only lose the land it has occupied, but even its homeland may be hit. Therefore, Putin needs to use such a disgraceful move to carry out military blackmail, the purpose is to force NATO to limit military aid to Ukraine, in order to achieve a military balance with Ukraine, and finally achieve a long-term stalemate in the Ukraine war, forcing Ukraine to not The result of annexation is not recognized as a fait accompli of the occupied territories.
Tang Jingyuan continued that this move is of course a sign of the deterioration and escalation of the war situation for the international community, and it is also the first time following the end of the Cold War that a nuclear power has deployed nuclear weapons to other countries. The treaty on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons has been seriously violated, and it may force some weaker countries to have more concerns when aiding Ukraine. But from another perspective, this move also exposed Putin’s weakness, indicating that his increasingly difficult situation on the battlefield has seriously affected the security of his power position. Proliferation and deployment of nuclear weapons is basically his last card. Strictly speaking, he does not really want to use nuclear weapons to win the war, but to use nuclear weapons to keep his position.
Tang Jingyuan believes that for the CCP, Putin’s actions can be described as both good and bad. The good news is that Russia’s escalation of nuclear blackmail can attract more attention from the United States and Europe, and further reduce the pressure on itself; the worry is that Putin does not really respect Xi Jinping, and he does not care whether the interests of the CCP will be damaged because of this. Putin only cares regarding his own interests, which will inevitably greatly weaken the foundation of Xi Jinping’s alliance with Russia to resist the United States. Moreover, if the Russian army suffers a major defeat that endangers the Putin regime, the CCP cannot rule out the possibility that Putin will take risks. This risk may drag the CCP into an uncontrollable war, which will lead to a regime crisis for the CCP itself.
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