Russian households in debt at record levels

international sanctions once morest Russia are particularly felt in the country. L’ indebtedness Russian household prices hit an all-time high in the first quarter of this year, the Central Bank of Russia said in a report on Tuesday.

“Just before the onset of the crisis (linked to sanctions due to the Russian offensive in Ukraine), the retail loan market has reached the highest level of household indebtedness at a macro level since the start of the observations”, i.e. 10.6% of the disposable income of the population, once morest 10.2% at the same period in 2021, according to this report. The Central Bank notes that in the context of the deteriorating economic situation and a rise in the cost of credit last March, when it had suddenly increased its key rate, the issuance of new consumer credit has nevertheless decreased.

A key rate of 11%

In March-April, the issue of new credits consumption fell by 3.4%. On the other hand, the Bank does not note any significant deterioration in the quality of loans to individuals. “However, in March-April, a significant increase in the share of consumer loans for which the next payment was missed was recorded”, from 5.3 to 7.5%, “indicating a potential increase in non-performing loans in the future,” notes the Bank.

In the wake of the first sanctions following the entry of Russian troops into Ukraine on February 24, the Central Bank had drastically increased its key rate from 10% to 20%, before starting a gradual decline. It is currently at 11%. The Russian population is likely to suffer seriously from the sanctions: inflation, at 17.8% annually in April, combined with a drop in income due to the layoffs which are beginning and an increased recourse to partial unemployment by factories in lack of foreign parts , will significantly reduce the purchasing power of Russians, especially since they have little savings.