Rising Diabetes Rates: A 30-Year Projection and Global Impact

2023-06-24 12:20:00

Orange with 6Medias, published on Saturday June 24, 2023 at 2:20 p.m.

According to a study by the British scientific journal The Lancet, published Thursday, June 22, the number of diabetics should double within 30 years in the world.

In 2021, 529 million people suffered from diabetes worldwide. A constantly increasing number, which might well explode by 2050.

Indeed, this chronic disease, described as “evil of the century”, is expected to affect 1.3 billion people in the next 30 years, warns the review. The LancetThursday, June 22.

Currently, Oceania (12.3% of diabetics among the population), North Africa and the Middle East (9.3%) are the most affected regions of the world. According to the British study, the rates are expected to explode in 2050, with 16.8% in North Africa and the Middle East, 11.3% in Latin America and the Caribbean. More than three-quarters of adults with diabetes will live in poor countries by 2045, researchers say.

Geographic inequalities

In France, the highest prevalence rates are observed in the overseas departments. “With an identical age structure, the prevalence is twice as high in Reunion than in the whole territory. It is 1.8 times higher in Guadeloupe and 1.5 times higher in Guyana and Martinique”indicates Public Health France.

While the causes of type 1 diabetes are unknown, type 2 diabetes remains largely preventable. The latter, which is defined by the presence of a chronic excess of sugar in the blood, concerns 96% of patients. According to the researchers, the increase in the number of diabetes cases is due to the growing obesity in the world.

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