RCN Tracking Thursday June 9 | Gustavo Petro vs. Rodolfo Hernandez | Colombia Elections Survey 2022: Petro is ahead with 48.5% over Hernández, 46.7% | Second Round | June 19 | WORLD

In this Thursday’s RCN tracking there are two facts to highlight: Gustavo Petro widens its difference from Rodolfo Hernandez in the race for the Presidency of Colombia: The candidate of the Historical Pact marks 48.5% in the intention to vote while the candidate of the League of Anti-Corruption Governors obtains 46.7%. The other point is the slight drop in the blank vote, which is now at 4.9%.

When asked who do you think will be the president, the numbers also favor Petro.

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46.3% of Colombians, according to this study by the firm GAD3, believe that the candidate for the Historical Pact will be elected as the new president for the period 2022-2026.

While 44.0% believe that the new head of state will be the former mayor of Bucaramanga. In this sense, in this new tracking Rodolfo Hernández recovers votes from the students and also from the people of the center.

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Technical sheet of the RCN Tracking

– Legal entity that carried it out: GAD3 Colombia SAS

– Legal entity that entrusted it: RCN Television S.A.– Funding source: RCN Television S.A.

– Type of sample and procedure used to select the sample units: Random selection of interviewees with daily compliance with quotas by sex and age and geographical quotas. Proportional allocation in the country as a whole. (See table on geographical distribution of the sample).

– Sample size: Total: 4,438 according to the following waves: 30/31-May: 1,200; Jun-1: 556; Jun-2: 553; Jun-3: 531, Jun-4: 400, Jun-6: 401, Jun-7: 400 and Jun-8: 397.

– Subject of study: Voting intention for the second round of the presidential elections in Colombia 2022

– Specific questions asked: 14 (the complete form with the complete answers is attached)

– Characters who were investigated: Presidential candidates for the second round Colombia 2022: Gustavo Petro and Rodolfo Hernández.

– Area (geographic universe and population universe): National scope. Residents in Colombia with the right to vote.

– Technique used for the selection of the sample: Computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) to cell phones in Colombia.

– Date of collection: May 30 to June 8, 2022, ai

– Error range: ± 1.5% (n=4,438) for a degree of confidence of 95.5% (two sigma) and in the most unfavorable hypothesis of=0.5 in the assumption of simple random sampling.

– Statistician who designed the research: Dr. Narciso Michavila Núñez.