2023-05-23 20:41:39
(Washington) As the countdown ticks away before a possible bankruptcy of the United States, the teams of Joe Biden and the negotiators of the Republican camp once more sought Tuesday, without immediate success, a delicate budgetary compromise.
“Each of the two camps must understand that they will not have everything they want. We are trying to come up with a budget that is reasonable and supported by both parties,” White House spokeswoman Karine Jean-Pierre said.
She clarified that the Republican and Democratic negotiators, following having already worked until late Monday evening, had met once more for several hours on Tuesday, and indicated that Joe Biden would be informed of the status of the discussions.
Even if time is running out before the 1is June, the date on which an unprecedented and perilous American payment default might occur, the executive does not intend to force its way by invoking the 14e amendment of the Constitution.
This text prohibits “questioning” the solvency of the world’s leading power.
“It wouldn’t solve the problem we have right now,” she said of the strategy recently mentioned by the American president.
It would consist in issuing new loans without worrying regarding the “debt ceiling”, the subject of all the discussions of the moment. Congress must absolutely increase it quickly to avoid bankruptcy, which according to the US Treasury might happen in nine days.
Panic
The federal government would then find itself more or less quickly unable to pay certain civil servants, to pay certain social benefits, and to reimburse certain creditors.
The result, economists say, would be a financial panic and a massive recession, with a global contagion effect.
To vote in favor of a higher debt ceiling – it is currently more than 31,000 billion dollars – the Republicans require a budgetary effort.
The Democrats led by Joe Biden are also in favor of reducing the deficit.
Problem: each side has opposing ideas on how to achieve this.
The White House would like to tax the wealthiest and big business more, without touching social benefits or the president’s huge investment projects. In other words, to increase the revenues of the federal state.
The Conservatives, on the other hand, would rather cut public spending.
The Republican boss of the House of Representatives Kevin McCarthy, who is the main opponent of the White House on this file, estimated on Tuesday that the conservatives were “the only ones who did something” to avoid a default, by presenting a strict budgetary plan.
2024
The compromise, according to the American press, might be found on a few targeted budget items, in a reallocation of funds intended to fight the COVID-19 pandemic, and via a freeze on certain expenses, the duration of which is fiercely debated.
Time is running out all the more so since it is not just a question, for Joe Biden and Kevin McCarthy, of reaching an agreement between them. The compromise found will still have to be validated by Congress.
The Democrats control the Senate by only a short head, while the Republicans have only a few majority seats in the House.
However, the progressive senators on the Democratic side, and the elected Trumpists on the Republican side, have already given voice to demand the greatest firmness from their respective leaders.
A default might change the face of the 2024 presidential campaign.
Joe Biden, who at 80 is seeking re-election, is struggling for the time being to enthuse public opinion with his promises of prosperity and social justice. A recession would weigh down his candidacy.
Former President Donald Trump, favorite in the Republican primary, for his part calls on his camp not to “bend” in the face of the White House in the debt file.
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