brace Yourself: Rain Expected Across Most of the Philippines on New Year’s Day
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Filipinos hoping for a sunny start to 2025 may need to adjust their plans. The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) predicts rainy weather in most parts of the country on New Year’s day, thanks to a trio of weather systems: the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), shear line, and northeast monsoon.
ITCZ to Bring rain to Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan
Pagasa forecasts that the ITCZ will primarily influence Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan. Residents in these regions should be prepared for cloudy skies, scattered rains, and thunderstorms. There is also a risk of flash floods and landslides in these areas.
Shear Line to Impact Luzon
Simultaneously occurring, the shear line, characterized by the convergence of warm and cold winds, is expected to affect the eastern sections of Northern and Central Luzon. Pagasa warns of cloudy skies with scattered rains and isolated thunderstorms in Metro Manila, Calabarzon, Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Apayao, Aurora, Bulacan, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur.
northeast Monsoon to Affect Northern Luzon
The northeast monsoon, locally known as “amihan,” will influence the rest of Northern Luzon. Batanes will experience cloudy skies and rains due to the northeast monsoon. The Ilocos Region, the rest of the Cordillera Administrative Region, and Nueva Vizcaya will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.
The rest of Luzon will see partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, mainly attributed to the shear line.
The remainder of Mindanao can expect partly cloudy to cloudy skies, with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms, primarily due to the influence of the ITCZ.
specifically, the northern and western sections of Northern Luzon will experience moderate to strong winds blowing northeastward, resulting in moderate to rough coastal waters. the rest of the country will encounter light to moderate winds moving from east to northeast, accompanied by slight to moderate coastal waters.
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## Archyde News: Bracing for a Wet New Year
**Host:** welcome back to Archyde News. As we usher in the new year, it seems Mother Nature has a bit of a soggy surprise in store for many Filipinos. Joining us tonight to discuss the latest weather update adn provide some tips on staying safe is [Alex Reed Name], a meteorologist with [Alex Reed affiliation].
Welcome to the show, [Alex Reed Name].
**Alex Reed:** Thank you for having me.
**host:** So, the forecasts are predicting critically important rainfall across most of the Philippines on New Year’s Day.Can you tell us more about this weather system and what areas are most likely to be affected?
**Alex Reed:** Indeed, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) has strengthened and is expected to bring widespread rain across the Visayas, Mindanao, and Palawan regions on New year’s Day.[[1](https://www.gdacs.org/media.aspx?eventid=1001033&episodeid=1&eventtype=TC)]This weather system is characterized by an area where trade winds from the Northern and Southern Hemispheres converge, leading to cloud formation and heavy rainfall.
**Host:** That’s concerning news for those hoping to ring in the new year with outdoor festivities. Are there any safety precautions people should be taking in anticipation of this heavy rainfall?
**Alex Reed:** Absolutely. It’s crucial to stay informed about weather updates and advisories from PAGAsa and local authorities. Avoid unnecessary travel, especially to areas prone to flooding. Ensure your homes are prepared for heavy rain by clearing gutters, trimming trees, and securing loose objects.Have an emergency kit prepared with essentials like food, water, flashlights, and first aid supplies.
**Host:** Excellent advice. What about those who might be travelling during this time? Are there any specific recommendations for them?
**Alex Reed:** Those travelling should closely monitor weather reports and be prepared for potential delays or disruptions. It’s advisable to check with airlines or transportation providers for any updates. If driving, exercise extreme caution, especially in mountainous areas prone to landslides.
**Host:** Thank you so much, [Alex Reed Name], for these valuable insights and safety tips. We urge our viewers to heed your advice and stay safe this New Year’s Day. For more updates on the weather situation, please visit our website at Archyde.com.
