Meteorological expert Wu Derong pointed out that there is a probability that a tropical disturbance will develop into a Taiwan this week in the “Northwest Pacific”, which will be closest to Taiwan from Saturday to next Monday. The “co-partner effect” produced by the simulated path and the northeast monsoon poses different threats to different parts of Taiwan.
Wu Derong said in the “Sanli Quasi-Meteorology. Boss Xie Tianji” that today (11) there will be local short-lived rain in the northeast, and there is a chance of sporadic rain in the mountains near Taipei. It’s cold in the morning and evening.
Wu Derong said that tomorrow and Thursday (12th and 13th), the windward side will have a slight increase in moisture, and there will be partial rain in Taipei and the eastern half. The first half of Friday (14th) eased briefly, and the water on the windward side increased from the second half of the day. There was partial rain in the north and eastern half of Taoyuan, and it was cloudy when it was sunny in the south of Hsinchu.
Wu Derong said that from Saturday to next Monday (15th to 17th), the weather changes in various places, and the degree of impact is closely related to the trend of the typhoon, and it remains to be observed.
Wu Derong pointed out that the latest European and American model ensemble simulations show that the “Northwest Pacific” has a probability of developing into a Taiwanese tropical disturbance this week, and is closest to Taiwan from Saturday to next Monday. Its possible paths include 1. turning north on the east side of Taiwan, 2. entering the Bashi Strait and then turning north, and 3. passing through the Bashi Strait and then entering the South China Sea. These three paths and their “co-partner effect” with the northeast monsoon pose different threats to different parts of Taiwan. However, because they are all simulations at the end of the period, the “uncertainty” is relatively large, and the model will continue to be adjusted, and should be closely observed.
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