The British publication noted that in the first months of the war in Ukraine, the Kremlin was held captive by the delusional belief that its “special military operation” would be completed within weeks and that Russian troops would be welcomed as liberators in Ukraine.
“However, the aggressive war that V. Putin started in 2022 is not the one that is happening now,” the authors of the article pointed out.
In their view, the challenge facing the West in these new circumstances is strikingly similar to the one the United States faced in West Germany (especially West Berlin) in the early years of the Cold War.
“The West must prove that Ukraine is a place where investors are willing to put their money – protected by Patriot missile batteries, of course – before the end of the war.” It should also be a country to which a number of Ukrainians currently living outside their homeland are ready to return. And finally, negotiations on Ukraine’s accession to the EU should be started while the war is still going on,” the article states.
On Wednesday, the US Senate approved the country’s interim budget without additional aid to Ukraine. The government budget bill was passed to help avoid a temporary partial shutdown of government offices.
87 senators voted for the document, 11 were against it. A bill aimed at averting a government shutdown was sent to President Joe Biden shortly before his filing deadline.
Earlier, the European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, said that the US would cut aid to Ukraine, so the EU should maintain supplies.
“And we Europeans, who have the means to do so, must be ready to continue helping Ukraine, given that US support is likely to decrease,” the diplomat explained.
Does the West still have a strategy for dealing with Russia?
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The West needs to prove that Ukraine is a place where investors want to put their money before the end of the Russian war.
According to the publication “Financial Times“, Ukraine must also become a country to which Ukrainians currently living outside their homeland would like to return. And finally, negotiations on Ukraine’s accession to the EU should begin while the war is still going on.
“Faced with the grim reality that Ukraine’s military counteroffensive has stalled and Hamas has launched a bloody attack on Israel, many observers are questioning whether the West still has a viable strategy for dealing with Russia’s war in Europe,” the article reads.
Photo of the Ukrainian Ground Forces/Ukrainian soldiers
It is noted that the public mood both in Ukraine and in the West is gloomy.
“With Republican opposition to additional US funding for Kyiv’s hostilities and a refocus on the Middle East, Western support for Ukraine cannot be taken for granted.”
The Financial Times noted that the war between Israel and Hamas has not only focused public attention on the Middle East and created competition for resources, but has also weakened the perception that the nature of Russian aggression is in any way exceptional.
“A recent study by the Council on European Foreign Relations on the ‘geopolitics of emotions’ conducted in the run-up to the Israel-Hamas war revealed a worrying, if not surprising, trend: public opinion in major non-Western countries is more interested in when the war will end than how it will end “, the authors of the article say.
The public considers the West and Ukraine to be the main obstacle to peace, not Russia. Most of the so-called representatives of the global south agree that Moscow will win in the next five years, and see the conflict as a pretext for confrontation between the United States and Russia, noted the Financial Times.
On Wednesday, the US approved an interim budget that does not include additional support for Ukraine. It is noted that 87 senators voted for it and 11 against it. The bill is expected to help avert a shutdown by funding the government.
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#Financial #Times #named #Putins #main #plan #Ukraine
2024-09-12 18:41:28
Economic consequences of war in Ukraine
The West’s Strategy for Dealing with Russia: A Shift in Focus Needed
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has raised questions about the West’s strategy for dealing with Russia. The British publication, Financial Times, notes that the Kremlin’s initial delusional belief that the “special military operation” would be completed within weeks has given way to a grim reality. The war has stalled, and the West is facing a new challenge: proving that Ukraine is a place where investors want to put their money, and Ukrainians want to return to, before the end of the war. [[2]]
The West is also grappling with the perception that the nature of Russian aggression is not exceptional. The war between Israel and Hamas has focused public attention on the Middle East and created competition for resources, further weakening the West’s resolve to support Ukraine. [[2]]
The Financial Times notes that a recent study by the Council on European Foreign Relations on the ‘geopolitics of emotions’ revealed that public opinion in major non-Western countries is more interested in when the war will end than how it will end. The public considers the West and Ukraine to be the main obstacle to peace, not Russia. Most representatives of the global south agree that Moscow will win in the next five years, and see the conflict as a pretext for confrontation between the United States and Russia. [[2]]
The European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, has expressed concerns that the US will cut aid to Ukraine, and the EU should maintain supplies. [[2]]Meanwhile, the US Senate has approved an interim budget that does not include additional support for Ukraine, casting doubts on the West’s commitment to supporting Kyiv’s hostilities. [[2]]
In this context, it is essential to rethink the West’s strategy for dealing with Russia. The West needs to prove that Ukraine is a place where investors want to put their money, and Ukrainians want to return to, before the end of the war. Negotiations on Ukraine’s accession to the EU should begin while the war is still going on. [[2]]
Furthermore, the West needs to acknowledge that the war in Ukraine is not just about Ukraine, but about the broader security architecture of Europe. The West must demonstrate its commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, while also addressing the root causes of the conflict. This requires a comprehensive approach that takes into account the geopolitical, economic, and social dimensions of the conflict.
Building Ukraine’s Military Effectiveness
Building Ukraine’s military effectiveness is critical to countering Russian aggression. According to a recent report by the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), Ukraine’s military strategy should aim to inflict unacceptable damage on Russia, rather than trying to defeat it in a conventional war. [[3]]This approach requires Ukraine to develop a robust military capability, supported by Western aid and
Does the West still have a strategy for dealing with Russia?
As the war in Ukraine continues, questions arise about the West’s strategy for dealing with Russia. The initial assumption was that Russia’s “special military operation” would be completed within weeks, and Russian troops would be welcomed as liberators in Ukraine. However, the reality is far from it. Russia has eschewed large-scale attacks for multiple assaults to slowly take small parcels of Ukrainian territory, as noted by Putin’s intentions [[3]].
The West faces a similar challenge as the one the United States faced in West Germany (especially West Berlin) in the early years of the Cold War. The West must prove that Ukraine is a place where investors are willing to put their money, protected by Patriot missile batteries, before the end of the war. Additionally, Ukraine should become a country to which Ukrainians currently living outside their homeland would like to return, and negotiations on Ukraine’s accession to the EU should begin while the war is still going on [[1]].
However, the recent US Senate approval of the country’s interim budget without additional aid to Ukraine raises concerns. The government budget bill was passed to help avoid a temporary partial shutdown of government offices, but it has sparked concerns about the West’s commitment to supporting Ukraine. European Union’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, has stated that the EU should maintain supplies to Ukraine, given that US support is likely to decrease [[1]].
Economic Consequences of War in Ukraine
The economic consequences of the war in Ukraine are far-reaching. The conflict has stalled Ukraine’s military counteroffensive, and the public mood both in Ukraine and in the West is gloomy. The Kremlin’s strategic culture leads it to prefer military force to resolve disputes, making war more likely [[1]]. This aggressive approach has significant economic implications, not only for Ukraine but also for the global economy.
To build Ukraine’s military effectiveness and avoid a war of attrition, a comprehensive strategy is needed. This should include inflicting unacceptable damage on Russia, leading to a more favorable outcome for Ukraine. The military strategy should be aimed at achieving this goal, and negotiations on Ukraine’s accession to the EU should be part of the overall strategy [[2]].
the West’s strategy for dealing with Russia is being questioned, and the economic consequences of the war in Ukraine are significant. To prove its commitment to Ukraine, the West must demonstrate its ability to support the country financially and militarily, while also working towards a long-term solution, including EU accession negotiations.
References:
[1] Russian Strategic Culture and the War in Ukraine, Foreign Policy Research Institute.
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