There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What impact has the surge in solar panel imports had on local businesses and the overall energy market in Pakistan?
**Short Interview: The Solar Panel Surge in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Good afternoon, everyone. Today we have Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp, along with Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions. They’re here to discuss the recent boom in solar panel imports and installations in Pakistan. Welcome to you both!
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having us.
**Hussain Khan:** Glad to be here!
**Interviewer:** Let’s dive right in. Muhammad, the Bloomberg NEF report states that Pakistan imported a whopping 13 GW of solar panels from China in early 2024. What does this influx mean for the local market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** It signifies a radical shift in Pakistan’s energy landscape. The surge in solar panel imports has made solar energy more accessible for households and businesses, especially given the soaring electricity prices. However, it’s essential to note that while demand is increasing, the market dynamics are changing quickly. As too many panels flood the market, we’re starting to see profit margins shrink.
**Interviewer:** That’s fascinating but also quite concerning. Hussain, could you elaborate on the profit margins you’re experiencing? What has changed from last year to now?
**Hussain Khan:** Certainly! Last year, the cost of importing solar panels was around $0.15 per watt and local prices were around $0.30, netting significant profits. However, with the influx of these panels, especially in 2024, profit rates have dramatically decreased, and some panels are now being sold at a loss. The market is rapidly saturating, and many small players are already exiting.
**Interviewer:** So, it seems like there’s a double-edged sword here. Muhammad, can you explain how the foreign exchange crisis in 2022 has shaped the current landscape for solar panel imports?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. During that crisis, the central bank restricted imports to essentials, leading to a significant slowdown in bringing in solar panels. Yet, this created an opportunity for bigger players who stocked up during that time. Now that more people can import, many see solar as a lucrative option, but the initial market rush is becoming unsustainable.
**Interviewer:** With these changing dynamics, what’s your outlook for the solar market in Pakistan moving forward?
**Hussain Khan:** I still believe that investing in solar remains a good option despite the challenges. With rising electricity prices, even if net metering becomes less profitable, companies and individuals will continue to see the long-term benefits. Our installations are a straightforward investment, typically showing ROI within 18 to 24 months.
**Interviewer:** Thank you both for sharing your insights. It’s a complex situation in Pakistan, but the potential for solar energy continues to be promising as we navigate these challenges.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thanks for having us!
**Hussain Khan:** Appreciate it!
**Interviewer:** Thank you to our audience for tuning in. Until next time!