There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How is the oversupply of solar panels affecting prices and competition among local distributors?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp, on the Solar Panel Market in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Thank you for joining us today, Mr. Mujahid. It’s great to have you here to discuss the dynamic solar panel market in Pakistan. A recent Bloomberg NEF report revealed that Pakistan imported 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024 alone. Can you share your thoughts on this surge in demand for solar panels?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The surge in demand is quite remarkable and reflects a significant shift towards renewable energy in Pakistan. The increased importation of solar panels indicates that both residential and commercial sectors are recognizing the long-term benefits of solar energy. In 2023, our local demand was around 3.5 GW, so the fact that we became the third largest market for Chinese solar exports is telling.
**Interviewer:** What do you think were the main factors that allowed for such an increase in solar panel imports after a lengthy period of restrictions?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Interestingly, the restrictions in 2022 due to the dollar shortage led to a situation where many local distributors could not import solar panels for almost nine months. However, as soon as the opportunity arose, market dynamics changed, and many players, including those previously in different sectors like rice exporting, began entering the solar business. They utilized their resources to restart imports, seeing the high profit margins that were available.
**Interviewer:** Speaking of profit margins, Wateen Energy Solutions reported direct import costs of $0.15 per watt while local prices soared to $0.30. How sustainable do you think this profit margin is, especially now that we are seeing an oversupply of solar panels in the market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Indeed, the market is already reacting to the oversupply; in some cases, solar panels are being sold at a loss. I didn’t expect to see such a rapid exit from the market because many had made significant profits initially. However, the competition will undoubtedly drive prices down, and those who cannot adapt will find it challenging.
**Interviewer:** Investment in solar energy seems strong, especially from commercial and industrial sectors. Can you give us an overview of how these investments are shaping the future of solar energy in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. Major investment is coming from both multinational and local companies keen on photovoltaic technology. As Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned, anyone who has capital is moving towards solar. The ROI is appealing, often yielding returns within 18 months to two years, even with rising electricity prices. This makes solar an increasingly attractive option for many.
**Interviewer:** With NEPRA indicating rising electricity prices due to multiple factors, how do you see the future of solar energy investment evolving?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Given the circumstances, as electricity prices rise, the appeal of solar energy only grows. Even if net metering becomes less profitable, solar power will remain a smart investment. The market is evolving, and as we start solving issues like distribution losses and governance, I believe we’ll see a more stable and profitable solar energy landscape in Pakistan.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Mr. Mujahid, for your insights! It’s fascinating to see how the solar market is changing in Pakistan and your perspective on future developments.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me; it’s a pleasure to discuss these important advancements in renewable energy in Pakistan.