There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a dollar shortage, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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**Interview with Hussain Khan, Director of Wateen Energy Solutions**
*Interviewer:* Thank you for joining us today, Hussain. There has been a significant influx of solar panels in Pakistan recently, with reports indicating that 13 GW were imported from China in just the first half of 2024. What do you think are the key factors driving this rapid increase in solar panel availability?
*Hussain Khan:* Thank you for having me. The primary driver has been the increased demand for solar energy solutions, especially in light of rising electricity prices in Pakistan. The commercial and industrial sectors are leading this surge as they seek reliable and cost-effective energy sources. Moreover, the profit margins in the market have attracted many new players, including those from other industries, such as rice exporters who have pivoted to solar panel distribution.
*Interviewer:* That’s interesting. You mentioned profit margins; can you elaborate on how the import costs compare to local market prices and what that meant for distributors?
*Hussain Khan:* Certainly. The direct cost of importing solar panels was around $0.15 per watt, while they were sold for approximately $0.30 per watt locally. This created a substantial profit margin that incentivized businesses to import panels aggressively. Recently, however, with the oversaturation of the market, these profits have dwindled, and some companies are even selling panels at a loss to move their inventory.
*Interviewer:* It sounds like there are significant market dynamics at play. What implications does this oversupply have on the solar energy market in Pakistan?
*Hussain Khan:* The oversupply may lead to lower prices, which could ultimately benefit consumers looking to adopt solar energy. However, it can also cause instability in the market as less experienced companies might struggle to sustain their businesses when margins tighten. Despite this, I still believe that solar investments remain viable; the return on investment typically appears within 18 to 24 months.
*Interviewer:* How do you see this situation evolving in the near future, especially considering the challenges of the past few years with import restrictions?
*Hussain Khan:* It’s vital that the industry remains adaptable. The sudden influx of panels may seem like a challenge now, but as we move forward, I expect that companies focused on quality and service will thrive. Moreover, as electricity prices continue to rise, solar energy will remain an attractive investment, ensuring that the market will stabilize in time.
*Interviewer:* Lastly, in your opinion, what should potential solar investors keep in mind in light of the current market trends?
*Hussain Khan:* Potential investors need to conduct thorough market research before entering. Understanding local demand, maintaining a focus on quality products, and considering long-term profitability over short-term gains will be crucial. With the ongoing transformation in the energy sector, those who plan strategically will find sustainable opportunities in solar energy.
*Interviewer:* Thank you for sharing your insights, Hussain. It’s clear that while there are challenges in the solar market, there are also numerous opportunities for growth and investment.
*Hussain Khan:* Thank you for having me. It’s an exciting time for solar energy in Pakistan, and I’m optimistic about our future developments.