There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What impact has the recent surge in solar panel imports from China had on local distributors in Pakistan’s solar market?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor**: Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. There’s a lot happening with solar energy in Pakistan right now. Can you share your insights on the recent surge in solar panel imports from China?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Thank you for having me. Yes, it’s quite significant. In the first half of 2024 alone, Pakistan imported 13 gigawatts of solar panels from China, making it the third largest market for Chinese solar exports. This has created an interesting situation where we see solar panels “on the roads,” indicating a robust distribution effort.
**Editor**: That’s an impressive number. How did the earlier economic challenges impact the solar market in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: In 2022, Pakistan faced a severe foreign exchange crisis, leading to a restricted issuance of letters of credit for imports. This ban meant that essential goods like food and medicine could be imported, but solar panels were largely sidelined for about nine months. However, amidst restrictions, the market found a way. Some businesses leveraged their existing capital, effectively pivoting from other industries, like rice exports, to solar panels.
**Editor**: You mentioned a significant profit margin for local distributors. Can you elaborate on that?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Absolutely. The direct cost of importing solar panels was around $0.15 per watt, while they were sold at about $0.30 per watt locally—a staggering 100% profit margin. This prompted many to enter the solar market, lured by the lucrative potential.
**Editor**: But it seems like the market dynamics are changing. Could you explain what’s happening now in 2024?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Yes, we are witnessing an oversaturation of solar panels in the market, leading to lower profit margins. In fact, some panels are being sold at a loss. The rapid influx of panels wasn’t anticipated; I expected companies to remain invested in the solar sector longer, given earlier profits.
**Editor**: Considering this volatility, how do you see the future of solar investments in Pakistan, especially with regards to return on investment?
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Despite current challenges, I believe solar power remains a smart investment. Many businesses, particularly in the commercial and industrial sectors, continue to invest heavily, guided by the return on investment timelines, which typically average 18 to 24 months. Even if net metering diminishes, rising electricity costs due to various factors—like currency devaluation and demand fluctuations—ensure that solar energy remains appealing.
**Editor**: Thank you for your insights, Muhammad. It’s fascinating to see how the solar panel market is evolving in Pakistan. We look forward to seeing how this industry progresses.
**Muhammad Mujahid**: Thank you for the opportunity. I’m optimistic about the future of solar energy in Pakistan. It’s clear we’re moving towards a more sustainable energy landscape.