There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring back their dollars from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How do the profit margins from importing solar panels impact market competition and stability in the solar energy sector?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid and Hussain Khan on the Surge of Solar Panel Imports in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Welcome, Muhammad Mujahid from Innovo Corp and Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the rising trend of solar panel imports in Pakistan.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having us.
**Hussain Khan:** It’s a pleasure to be here.
**Interviewer:** Let’s start with you, Muhammad. The Bloomberg NEF report indicated that Pakistan imported 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024. Could you explain what sparked this surge?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Certainly. The demand for solar panels in Pakistan has skyrocketed due to rising electricity costs, prompting both commercial and industrial sectors to shift towards solar energy. However, it’s important to note that in 2022, we faced a major economic challenge with dollar shortages, which restricted imports. Once the situation improved, the flood of imports indicated a rapid recovery.
**Interviewer:** Hussain, you mentioned that the direct cost of importing solar panels was significantly lower than local selling prices. Can you elaborate on this pricing dynamic and its impact on the market?
**Hussain Khan:** Yes, importing panels at $0.15 per watt, while selling them for $0.30 locally created a massive profit margin—a 100 percent return. This attracted a lot of traders, including those from different industries looking to capitalize on this booming market. It became easier for many to enter the solar business since the product is straightforward to sell, and many had access to the cash flow from their primary operations, like those exporting rice.
**Interviewer:** Interesting! Given this influx, are there concerns about market stability in 2024?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. With such a large number of panels flooding the market, we saw profit margins diminish and some panels even sold at a loss. I didn’t expect such a rapid exit from the market; the initial investment returns were significant enough that many thought they’d stick around longer.
**Interviewer:** Hussain, how is investment in solar energy evolving in Pakistan? Are we seeing more local and multinational companies getting involved?
**Hussain Khan:** Yes, definitely. Investment is primarily coming from both commercial and industrial sectors, with many companies recognizing solar power as a straightforward investment. The return on investment typically starts showing within 18 months to two years, which is an enticing prospect.
**Interviewer:** As the market stabilizes, what do you foresee for the future of solar energy in Pakistan, especially regarding electricity costs?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Even if the net metering becomes less profitable in the future, solar energy will remain attractive due to the rising electricity prices influenced by various factors such as currency devaluation and governance issues. It’s essential for consumers to consider solar as a long-term solution.
**Hussain Khan:** Exactly. The increasing cost of electricity makes solar an even more viable solution. Companies like ours are committed to expanding our installations, with plans to increase from 30 MW installed to around 50 MW by 2025.
**Interviewer:** Thank you both for sharing your insights. It’s clear that while challenges exist, the future of solar energy in Pakistan appears promising.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having us.
**Hussain Khan:** It was a pleasure to discuss this important topic.