There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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What factors contributed to the rise in solar panel imports in Pakistan during the first half of 2024?
**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Thank you for joining us today, Muhammad. There’s been a significant influx of solar panels in Pakistan recently, with reports stating that 13 GW have been imported just in the first half of 2024. What has driven this surge in solar panel imports?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. The dramatic increase in imports is primarily due to the growing demand for solar energy solutions in Pakistan. In 2023, we saw a demand of about 3.5 GW, and with the capacity of the Chinese market to supply at competitive prices, Pakistan has emerged as an appealing destination for solar exports.
**Editor:** You mentioned in your report that the country faced a shortage of dollars in 2022, leading to a prohibition on imports for several months. How did this affect the solar panel market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Indeed, the trade deficit severely restricted imports, and only essential goods were allowed in. While that slowed down the flow of solar panels significantly, some players in the market were still able to navigate the challenges. A limited issuance of letters of credit made it difficult for many, but those who adapted managed to benefit from the situation.
**Editor:** Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned that the profit margins on solar panels were exceptionally high before the recent influx. How has this changed now?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** With the massive availability of solar panels now, the profit margins have started to normalize, and in some cases, panels are even sold at a loss. It’s important to note that the market dynamics can shift quickly, and while there was once extraordinary profit to be made, many newcomers may not have anticipated how fast these changes would occur.
**Editor:** You’ve indicated that investment in solar energy has increasingly come from commercial and industrial sectors. Why do you think this shift has happened?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The high return on investment and the rising cost of electricity have made solar panels an attractive option. Businesses recognize that investing in solar energy isn’t just good for the environment but also for their bottom line. With electricity prices increasing due to various systemic issues, investing in solar solutions is becoming a more strategic move.
**Editor:** Looking ahead, what do you foresee for the solar panel market in Pakistan?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I believe we will continue to see growth, but it will be accompanied by volatility due to the recent oversupply. However, as long as electricity prices remain high and firms can harness solar efficiency, we will see sustained investment in the sector. Ultimately, this transition to solar energy is not just a trend — it’s a long-term commitment by businesses adapting to both market and environmental needs.
**Editor:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights. It seems that while challenges exist, the potential for solar energy in Pakistan remains significant.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. It’s an exciting time for solar energy in Pakistan, and I’m looking forward to seeing how this market evolves.