There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, the demand for solar panels in Pakistan is about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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How has the influx of imported solar panels affected profit margins for local companies in Pakistan’s solar energy market?
**Interview: The Boom of Solar Energy in Pakistan**
**Interviewer:** Welcome, Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the recent developments in Pakistan’s solar energy market.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me.
**Interviewer:** The recent Bloomberg NEF report indicates that Pakistan imported an astonishing 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024. How do you see this influx impacting the local market?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** The sheer quantity of solar panels being imported means they are quite literally “seen on the roads.” It reflects a growing market demand, especially since we’ve seen consistent interest in solar energy due to rising electricity prices and a general push towards renewable sources.
**Interviewer:** Just last year, the central bank’s dollar shortage led to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. How did that affect solar panel imports?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** That was a critical challenge. For nearly nine months, distributors struggled to bring in solar panels due to stringent letter of credit regulations. However, some managed to import panels, and those able to navigate the currency crisis took advantage of the following boom.
**Interviewer:** Hussain Khan from Wateen Energy Solutions mentioned a striking profit margin in the market, with panels costing only $0.15 per watt yet selling for $0.30. Are companies still making that kind of profit today?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Initially, yes. The profit margins attracted a lot of players into the market, including those from unrelated sectors like rice exportation. However, with the overwhelming supply this year, profit margins have shrunk dramatically, and in some cases, panels are being sold at a loss.
**Interviewer:** Interesting. It seems like the landscape of the market is changing rapidly. What do you think will be the long-term impact of this sudden saturation?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** I initially expected market exit trends to unfold over several months, but it seems that those who made quick gains are exiting sooner than anticipated, primarily because profit margins have diminished.
**Interviewer:** Despite the challenges, you noted there’s significant investment from both local and multinational companies. What is driving this trend?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Investment flows mainly from the commercial and industrial sectors. Many companies view solar as a straightforward investment with a quick return—often within 18 to 24 months—especially as electricity costs rise due to various factors like currency devaluation and infrastructure issues.
**Interviewer:** how do you foresee the future of solar energy in Pakistan, especially with efficient net metering becoming less profitable?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Regardless of net metering efficiencies, solar power remains a compelling option for many, given the instability of electricity costs. It’s a strategic investment as rising energy prices are likely to incentivize continued growth in the sector.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Muhammad, for sharing your insights on this vital issue in Pakistan’s energy landscape.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for the opportunity to discuss it!