There is a lot of solar panels in Pakistan at the moment. According to a Bloomberg NEF report, 13 GW of solar panels were imported from China in the first half of 2024. According to one project developer, importing such a large number of solar panels resulted in solar panels being “seen on the roads.” In 2023, Pakistan will have a demand for solar panels of about 3.5 GW, and in early 2024, Pakistan will be the target for Chinese solar exports. became the third largest market.
Muhammad Mujahid, executive director of Innovo Corp, said that in 2022, Pakistan’s central bank faced a shortage of dollars, leading to a trade deficit and an informal ban on imports. Only essential goods such as medicine and food could be imported, which meant that distributors were unable to bring in solar panels for nearly nine months.
Despite these restrictions, some solar panels were imported. Generally, a letter of credit (LC) is required from the importer’s bank to import goods. However during the foreign exchange crisis in 2022, issuance of LCs was limited. This situation provided an opportunity for the big players in the market to take advantage.
Hussain Khan of Wateen Energy Solutions said that the direct cost of importing the panels was $0.15 per watt while they were being sold at $0.30 per watt in the local market, a 100 percent profit in the trading business. Seeing the profit rate, everyone started ordering solar panels. Companies that were also exporting rice ventured into this business. For example, they exported rice and now they could bring their dollars back from other countries and suddenly the distribution of solar panels increased significantly.
Mohammad Mujahid said that selling solar panels was not a problem and no experience was necessary, meaning that it was not difficult for you to amortize solar panels from grade A manufacturing companies and sell them in the local market. .
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**Interview with Muhammad Mujahid, Executive Director of Innovo Corp**
**Editor:** Good afternoon, Muhammad. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the recent surge in solar panel imports and market dynamics in Pakistan.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. It’s a pleasure to discuss such an important topic.
**Editor:** According to a Bloomberg NEF report, Pakistan imported a staggering 13 GW of solar panels from China in the first half of 2024. What can you tell us about this rapid expansion?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** It’s a remarkable development. The extensive importation of solar panels has made them quite visible in the market—literally seen on the roads. This increase is in response to rising demand, which is projected to hit around 3.5 GW this year alone. It’s clear that Pakistan is quickly becoming a significant player in the solar energy sector, particularly for Chinese exports.
**Editor:** In your experience, what were some of the hurdles faced in the lead-up to this surge, particularly regarding the foreign exchange crisis in 2022?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** In 2022, the country faced a severe dollars shortage, which led to a trade deficit and an informal ban on non-essential imports, including solar panels. It was difficult for distributors to bring in these essential products since only necessities like food and medicine could be imported for nearly nine months. This created a unique market situation where large players capitalized on the limited supply.
**Editor:** It sounds like some companies made significant profits during that time. Can you elaborate on the pricing trends that were observed?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Absolutely. At one point, the direct cost of importing panels was around $0.15 per watt, but they were being sold in the local market for about $0.30 per watt, leading to a considerable profit margin. This attracted many businesses to venture into solar panel trading, even companies that traditionally focused on agriculture, like rice exporters, began entering this market to leverage the high profit potential.
**Editor:** However, now that the supply has increased significantly, how has that impacted profitability?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** We’ve indeed seen a drastic change. In 2024, due to the saturation of the market with solar panels, profit rates have plummeted, and some businesses are even selling at a loss. It’s quite surprising because many thought the profitability would last longer, perhaps six months or even a year.
**Editor:** In terms of investment, how do you view the future of solar energy in Pakistan, particularly amid the current economic challenges?
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Despite recent fluctuations, investment in solar energy remains strong, particularly from the commercial and industrial sectors. Companies recognize that solar systems are straightforward investments with good ROI within 18 months to two years, even as electricity prices continue to rise. It’s essential to adapt to market changes, but I believe solar energy will still be a viable and profitable sector.
**Editor:** Thank you very much for your insights, Muhammad. It’s clear that while the market is currently experiencing volatility, the long-term outlook for solar energy in Pakistan remains positive.
**Muhammad Mujahid:** Thank you for having me. I’m optimistic about the future of solar energy in our country.