Al-Diyar wrote: There are three scenarios for the presidential elections and the crisis of powers in Lebanon:
The first provides for the election of a moderate figure who does not belong to the traditional axes (8 and 14 March), which – if it happens – foretells a new phase in Lebanon, in the light of which an agreement will be signed to demarcate borders with the Israeli enemy and start implementing basic reforms in the country, especially electricity and the public sector..
The second is a pessimistic scenario and stipulates the inability to elect a president (the most likely scenario). On this basis, Lebanon will fall into a constitutional or unconstitutional dilemma. The caretaker government headed by Najib Mikati assumes the powers of the president, in the absence of a clear text on this subject and here we find the readings Legal on demand.
The third is a scenario between the two previous ones, and stipulates the inability to elect a president, but in return a government is formed that takes confidence from the Parliament, and thus the postponement of the election of the president is an issue agreed upon by all parties. However, the problem is in the requests of Representative Gebran Bassil, who many politicians threaten following the end of President Aoun’s term. Minister Bassil demands a guarantor third in the government, which is rejected by Presidents Nabih Berri and Najib Mikati, in addition to the Socialist Party, the Lebanese Forces, the Lebanese Phalanges and a number of new MPs..
Regardless of what will happen in the future, the final word in the game remains for Hezbollah, which the head of the socialist party is trying to get close to in order to ensure the election of a president who will be centrist – with the fall of the strong president equation – which requires time that we may reach the end of the president’s term before reaching a consensus on head name.
