With the presidential election just two months away, the approval rating for President Moon Jae-in’s performance in government is at an all-time high. While response to the coronavirus and expansion of welfare are cited as the reasons for the high approval rating, the extraordinary approval rating of the president at the end of his term is expected to act as one of the variables in the presidential election.
In a poll conducted by the Korea Social Opinion Research Institute on the 3rd request by TBS on 1002 men and women over the age of 18 from December 31 to January 1 last year, the evaluation of the presidential performance was 44.0% positive and 53.0% negative. appear. Compared to the survey conducted on December 6, last year, a month ago, the positive evaluation increased by 3.7%p and the negative evaluation decreased by 3.1%p.
On the 2nd, the Dong-A Ilbo commissioned Research & Research and conducted a poll conducted on 1,012 men and women over the age of 18 across the country from December 30 of last year to the 1st of last year. The evaluation was found to be 50.6%. The Dong-A Ilbo analyzed, “Corona 19 response and welfare expansion policies seem to have had an impact.”
In a public opinion poll released at the end of last year, the positive evaluation of President Moon’s performance in government was the highest in the year. According to the NBS (Nationa Barometer Survey) of the 5th week of December, conducted from December 27 to 29 last year, four polling companies, including Embrain Republic, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Korea Research, surveyed 1,000 adult men and women. The positive evaluation of President Moon’s government performance rose 2 percentage points from the previous survey to 47%. Negative evaluation was found at 49%.
In particular, it is noteworthy that in Daegu and Gyeongsangbuk-do, the positive evaluation recorded 38%, up 13%p from the previous survey. Regarding ex-President Park Geun-hye’s special amnesty, 59% said it was a good decision, higher than that it was a bad decision (34%).
Accordingly, on December 30, last year, a key official at the Blue House told reporters at the Chunchugwan, regarding the fact that the president’s approval rating reached the highest level in the year in the nationwide survey on that day, “As I say every time (the Moon Jae-in administration) is a government overcoming a crisis, there was a North Korean nuclear crisis at the beginning of the regime and Japan We have been sailing without a break while maintaining a good sense of direction in bad weather with typhoons and waves, such as export restrictions and pandemics (worldwide epidemic of infectious diseases),” he said. I will tell you,” he said.
When asked if the increase in TK’s approval rating was related to Park Geun-hye’s pardon, a Blue House official said, “I know that the amnesty was made without political consideration, but I saw the results of the opinion poll as such.”
As the next presidential election is two months away, President Moon’s high approval rating is acting as one of the presidential variables. The current government’s real estate policy was evaluated as a failed policy, and public opinion on regime change was consistently maintained at the 50% level, but on the other hand, the support rate for President Moon’s administration was maintained at 40%, preventing the spread of public opinion regarding regime change. Since the approval ratings of past presidents in the last year of their tenure were at or below 20%, the ruling parties at the time were in the mood to draw a clear line, demanding the president to leave the party.
On the other hand, President Moon’s support has reached an all-time high with four months remaining in his term, preventing further spread of public opinion regarding regime change. Within the ruling party, there is an atmosphere that does not strongly express critical sentiments toward President Moon. Democratic Party presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung also expressed criticism and apologies for the current government’s real estate policy, which had a predominantly negative evaluation, but he seems to be cautious regarding President Moon’s evaluation.
Candidate Jae-myung Lee evaluated the current government on December 28 last year, saying, “At least there was no corruption in the exercise of power.” Compared to past presidents at the end of their tenure, who became the center of issues in the presidential election due to corruption of close aides, President Moon is quietly far from the center of issues.
In the midst of this, candidate Yoon Seok-yeol, the People’s Power presidential candidate, has not been able to properly absorb public opinion for a regime change, and as Yoon’s approval rating has recently declined due to various bad factors, even the public opinion for a regime change is showing a downward trend.
In a TBS/Korean Society of Public Opinion Opinion poll, 41.4% of the respondents answered that ‘the ruling party candidate must be elected to re-create the government’ regarding the nature of the next presidential election, an increase of 4.8%p compared to the 6th of last month, a month ago. 50.4% of the respondents who said that they should be elected, decreased by 4.1%p from the 6th of last month.
In the Dong-A Ilbo and Research & Research survey, 37.3% of the respondents said that it is better for the Democratic Party candidate to be elected for regime stability, and 37.1% answered that it is better for the People’s Power candidate to be elected for regime change. As public opinion on regime change was usually high, it is unusual for a survey to show that the public opinion on regime stability and regime change was tight within the margin of error.
The Dong-A Ilbo said, “In the opinion poll for the 10th anniversary of the opening of Channel A, released on December 1 of last year, 38.5% of the opinion on regime change and 31.5% of the stability of the regime supported the theory of change by 7%p, which was outside the margin of error. It means that the flow of
In the same survey, the positive evaluation of the Moon Jae-in administration’s response to COVID-19 was 42.7%, which was 6.3%p higher than the negative evaluation (36.4%). The Dong-A Ilbo said, “The gradual recovery of daily life has stopped for a while, but the decrease in the number of confirmed cases due to strengthening social distancing seems to have had an effect.” reported that
The high approval ratings were expressed in a confident tone in the President’s New Year’s Address in 2022. In his New Year’s address on the 3rd, President Moon said, “Our government, which was launched without a transition committee in the unprecedented phase of impeachment of a president in constitutional history, has straightened the broken constitutional order and advanced democracy.” Regarding the next presidential election, he said, “The Republic of Korea will continue to move forward toward a better future when the achievements of the preceding government lead to the next government and take a bigger leap forward,” he said. said
The TBS/Korean Social Opinion Research Institute poll is 100% wireless automatic response method provided by the National Election Commission, and the sampling error is ±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level, and the response rate is 8.4%. The Dong-A Ilbo Research & Research poll was conducted by telephone interview (20%) and wireless (80%), and the sampling error was ±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level. The national indicator survey was conducted by telephone interview using a mobile phone virtual number (100%) provided by three domestic telecommunication companies, and the response rate was 28.3% and the sampling error was ±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level. For more information, visit the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
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