Possible formation of a tropical cyclone in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has issued a warning regarding a low pressure system located in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and parts of Central America, which is generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms. According to experts, environmental conditions are favorable for the development of this system, which could lead to the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm in the coming days.

This phenomenon is moving northward and is expected to cross the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico throughout the week. The probability of cyclone formation is 40% in the next 48 hours, while the probability over seven days increases significantly to 80%.

Although it has not yet reached cyclone status, this disturbance is expected to cause heavy rainfall over parts of Central America, which could lead to flooding in vulnerable regions. Residents of the Yucatan Peninsula in Mexico, western Cuba, and the northwestern Caribbean should keep an eye on this system.

As the system moves northward along the Gulf of Mexico, residents along the U.S. Gulf Coast are advised to closely monitor its development as it could impact these areas later in the week.

Probabilities Summary:

  • Probability of formation in the next 48 hours: Media, 40%.
  • Probability of formation in the next 7 days: Alta, 80%.

This system is expected to affect the Yucatan Channel region and western Cuba next week, which could make it a significant threat to coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico.

Forecasters will continue to closely monitor this system to provide timely updates on its development.

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