Keystone-SDA
This content was published on August 16, 2024 – 17:43
(Keystone-ATS) According to pollster Nate Silver, Kamala Harris has also surpassed Donald Trump in a fifth state among the seven swing states. In Arizona, according to the average of projections by his Silver Bulletin, the vice president is at 45.3%, compared to 44% for the tycoon.
The other four states are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Georgia, while Trump is ahead in North Carolina and Nevada. “Harris has improved Biden’s numbers by between 3.9 and 8.5 points in every swing state, and by more than 7 points nationally,” Silver says, calling the race “completely transformed.”
“If the election were today, she would be the favorite,” Silver told NewsNation, but cautioned, “remember that polls are sometimes inaccurate, as they were in 2016 and 2020.” Silver correctly predicted the election results of nearly every single state in 2008 and 2012, but was wrong in 2016, giving Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning.
