Poland’s Withdrawal of Military Aid to Ukraine: Implications and Present Challenges

2023-09-22 09:08:24

The news that Poland will no longer provide military aid to Ukraine came as a bolt from the blue. The support of the Ukrainian side by the Western states is increasingly unstable, and the timing of the Poles might not be worse for Volodymyr Zelenskyi. Especially since he has a meeting with Joe Biden at the White House tomorrow, September 22nd. “Poland will no longer provide armed support to Ukraine so that it can focus on its own defense,” announced Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki. He made all this public following the Polish government ordered the Ukrainian ambassador to Warsaw in connection with the grain dispute. Until now, that is, during the year and a half of the Russian-Ukrainian war, Warsaw has been Kiev’s most loyal patron. Will this step bring the beginning of the end, or are peace negotiations inevitable beyond this point? In recent days, the relationship between Poland and Ukraine has completely turned upside down. As you know, together with quite a few EU member states, the Poles want to introduce an export ban on Ukrainian grain. The indignation of local farmers is unquenchable, as the country is flooded with cheap Ukrainian wheat, pushing them out of the market. Parliamentary elections will be held in Poland on October 15, and the rhetoric patronizing Kyiv has changed drastically, comparing Ukraine to a “suffocating human body”. “Ukraine is behaving like a suffocating person, clinging to every possible thing”, declared Andrzej Duda, President of Poland, at the UN General Assembly. “A person who is drowning is extremely dangerous, he can pull others down with him into the abyss… he simply drowns his rescuer,” explained Duda. With this, he tried to refer to the defeats suffered on the battlefield, as well as to the failed counterattack on the part of Ukraine. Time for Ukraine to prepare for the worst? According to a new survey, support for Ukrainian refugees was 91% among the Polish population at the outbreak of the war, but this has recently fallen to 69%. Naturally, Zelenskiy deplored what happened during his speech at the UN and called Poland’s behavior alarming. What’s more, according to him, Kiev plans to sue Warsaw at the World Trade Organization and to introduce an embargo on Polish products throughout Ukraine. Recently, the bar has been hitting the Ukrainian government hard, as not only its allies are turning once morest it, but the feud has reared its head within its own ranks as well. According to many, the solution might be to remove Zelenskyi with noble simplicity. According to Politico news paper, America is also backing away from sending even more weapons to Ukraine, especially the Republican side. Speaking of which, the Ukrainian president also negotiated with the heads of American banks and investment funds, as well as with private investors, in the hope of financial assistance. JPMorgan, as Zelenskyi’s financial adviser, also contacted the boards of BlackRock, Bloomberg LP, Blackstone and Pershing Square Capital, among others. In the context of all of this, Zelensky’s visit to Washington promises to be very interesting, and one can only guess what kind of position Joe Biden will take with regard to European developments.
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