2024-04-05 06:38:25
[Tilu News]There are still more than three months left before the opening of the Paris Olympics. Gracenote, a big data company owned by Nielsen in the United States, has used a supercomputer to predict the medal list of this year’s Olympic Games. The results show that China’s number of gold medals will be the same as that of the United States. The United States still topped the list with 121 medals, followed closely by China with 85 medals. At the same time, France, the host country of this year’s Olympic Games, is expected to make a big leap forward by taking advantage of its home court, and is expected to rank third in the medal list with 27 gold medals. Hong Kong, which won 1 gold, 2 silver and 3 bronze medals in the Tokyo Olympics, is not on the list.
Gracenote predicts that China will equal the number of gold medals won by the United States. (Picture: Gracenote official website)
Gracenote draws this virtual medal list by predicting the most likely gold, silver, and bronze medalists for each country based on individual and team results from previous Olympics, World Championships, and World Cup events. The supercomputer predicts that the total number of medals in the United States will be more than the 113 medals at the Tokyo Olympics, reaching 121 medals. Among them, there will be medals in 26 different sports, and nearly half of them will come from track and field and swimming. The United States is predicted to win 37 golds, 37 silvers, and 47 bronzes, and dominate the Summer Olympics medal table for the 8th consecutive year.
Gracenote predicts that the United States will remain the medal leader at the Olympics, with track and field as its main winning event. (Picture: Online picture)
China won 89 medals at the Tokyo Olympics, and super computers estimate that China will win 85 medals this year, with the number of gold medals rising to 37, on par with the United States. Gracenote estimates that China brought in a large number of medals in diving, shooting, swimming, weightlifting, table tennis and gymnastics. However, Gracenote only made predictions for the top 30 medals. Hong Kong, which won 1 gold, 2 silver and 3 bronze medals in the Tokyo Olympics and ranked 49th on the medal list, and Chinese Taipei, which won 2 golds, 4 silvers and 6 bronzes and ranked 34th, both Not listed.
Cheung Ka-lang won the gold medal for Hong Kong at the Tokyo Olympics, but the Hong Kong team was not included in the predicted medal list for the Paris Olympics. (Picture: Body Road Database)
Gracenote predicts that China’s number of gold medals will be the same as that of the United States. (Picture: Online picture)
Table tennis is China’s traditional strength in the Olympic Games. (Picture: Online picture)
The performance of host countries in each Olympic Games has improved significantly. Japan won a total of 58 medals at the Tokyo Olympics, with 27 golds, 14 silvers, and 17 bronzes, ranking third in the medal list, setting a record. The number of gold medals this year is predicted to drop to only 15. France, which won 10 gold medals last time, is expected to have 27 gold medals and jump to the top three in the medal list.
However, the accuracy of this prediction is still affected by many factors, including the performance of Russian and Belarusian athletes. Russia participated in the last Olympic Games under the name of the Russian Olympic Committee (ROC) and won 20 golds, 28 silvers, and 23 bronzes, ranking fifth in the medal list. However, since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, athletes from Russia and its ally Belarus have been in constant competition. Few sports events have been banned, and Gracenote made it clear that it is currently unable to predict the potential performance of athletes from the two countries competing as independents, which will also affect the accuracy of predicting the medal table.
Text: Jia Zhaozhi
This article is written by “Sportsroad“Originally published in”Paris Olympics｜Supercomputer predicts that China and the United States will tie for first place in the number of gold medals. France takes advantage of its home court advantage to jump into the top three」
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