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In the June 1 local election, the current Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon, who is running as the mayor of the People’s Power, has an edge out of the margin of error in a virtual confrontation with Song Young-gil, former leader of the Democratic Party, came out on the 1st.
In addition, Democratic Party candidate Kim Dong-yeon and People’s Strength candidate Kim Eun-hye, each running as candidates for Gyeonggi governor, were found to be competing within the margin of error.
In a survey conducted by Gallup Korea commissioned by JoongAng Ilbo from the 29th to the 30th of last month on 1,6 men and women over the age of 18 living in Seoul, Mayor Oh received 54.6% of the votes, and CEO Song Jeon recorded 32.7% of approval ratings, respectively.
Justice Party candidate Kwon Soon-jung received 3.6 percent.
The gap in approval ratings between Mayor Oh and CEO Song Jeon was 21.9 percentage points, which was outside the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level).
By generation, among those in their 40s, the approval rates of CEO Song Jeon (45.3%) and Mayor Oh (44.5%) were similar, and in the rest of the generations, Mayor Oh took the lead. In particular, in their 20s and 30s, Mayor Oh’s approval ratings were 45.3% and 52.8%, respectively, ahead of CEO Song Jeon, who recorded 25.8% and 33.7%, respectively, by 19.5 percentage points and 19.1 percentage points.
By political orientation, 54.3% of the middle class also said that they support Mayor Oh. In the middle class, Song’s approval rating was 31.0%.
In the Gyeonggi Governor approval rate survey conducted on 1,58 men and women over the age of 18 living in Gyeonggi Province from the 29th to 30th of last month, Democratic Party candidate Kim Dong-yeon and People’s Strength candidate Kim Eun-hye recorded 42.6% and 42.7%, respectively, and played a close match within the margin of error.
The gap in the approval rating was 0.1 percentage points, which was within the margin of error (±3.0 percentage points at the 95% confidence level).
Candidate Dong-yeon Kim recorded relatively high approval ratings in those in their 20s and 40s, and Eun-hye Kim in those in their 60s and older.
In terms of gender, Candidate Eun-hye Kim received 45.6% of the vote and Dong-yeon Kim received 39.7% of the vote. Among women, Candidate Dong-yeon Kim received 45.4% and Eun-hye Kim 39.7%.
In a survey of the approval rating of Incheon Mayor conducted on 853 people living in Incheon during the same period, former Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok, a candidate for People’s Power, was 41.5%, and the Democratic Party candidate, Park Nam-chun, was 36.3%.
Justice Party candidate Lee Jeong-mi won 5.0%.
The gap between the two candidates was 5.2 percentage points, which was within the margin of error (±3.4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level).
In all three metropolitan areas (Seoul 51.5%, Gyeonggi 32.5%, Incheon 22.5%), ‘real estate policies such as house price stabilization’ were selected as the top priority as key issues.
The Seoul survey was conducted in the form of telephone interviews with wireless (84.4%) and landlines (15.6%). The response rate is 11.0%.
The Gyeonggi and Incheon surveys were also conducted in a wire-free telephone interview method (Gyeonggi wireless 85.7%, wired 14.3%, Incheon wireless 85.8%, wired 14.2%). The response rates were 10.5% and 11.5%, respectively.
For more information, visit the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
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