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2022.05.21
the past 10 years,OaksThe result of the most popular horse in Japan is[5-2-1-2]. Furthermore, the 2nd most popular horse is[1-3-3-3]and the 3rd most popular horse is[3-0-1-6]. It is forbidden to aim for an unreasonable hole, but the 9th popular Meisho Mambo won in 2013, and the 16th popular ambush Hagino Pilina rushed to 3rd place last year.
Looking at the battle process of 30 horses in the betting ticket area from 2012 to 2009, one clear tendency emerges. Of the 30 horses, 26 were the horses that were on the bulletin board in the previous race. In recent years, the aforementioned Hagino Pilina has entered the Oaks from the 1st place in the Yaguruma Award and is the 16th most popular 3rd place. Win Marilyn, the 7th most popular 2nd place in 20 years, won the Flora Stakes, and Win Mighty, the 13th most popular place in the same year, won the Forgotten Grass Award. I was facing the production from. From these facts, it can be said that the momentum of the previous run is important regardless of the race.
On the other hand, the four leaked horses are Admire Miyabi with 12 Oka Sho in 2017, Rouge Buck with 9 Oka Sho in 2017, Bounce Chasse with 11 Satsuki Sho in 2014, and Meisho with 10 Oka Sho in 2013. Both Mambo and the previous race are GI races. The bounce chasse of the stallion classic is a rare case, so the exception is Admire Miyabi, which is the second most popular at the Oka Sho, Rouge Buck is the most popular, and Meisho Mambo is the fourth most popular. Was. I cried at the mile of Incheon, but there is a good chance that it will strike back at 2400m in Fuchu.
In other words, what you should aim for at Oaks is “a horse that is more than the previous bulletin board” or “a big defeated horse that was popular at the Oka Sho”. I saw the ambush lurking in this.
■ Presage lift
Although it gained the 4th most popular support at the Oka Sho in the previous race, it lost to 11th place.Pressage lift.. At first glance, the result is unnoticeable, but considering that it was the first clockwise rotation in addition to the first Kansai area, there is room for consideration. Even so, he was not as defeated as his winning horse, Stars on Earth, by 0 seconds and 5 seconds, and the content itself was not bad, such as putting together the 3rd floor in 3rd place.
After winning the Tokyo Mile’s new horse race, Queen C, also at 1600m in Fuchu, won the first prize in the group race with the later Queen Stars on Earth. The counterclockwise Tokyo course is accustomed to running, and since it is a Kanto horse, it is good that there is no long-distance transportation. I am not surprised even if there is a run to recover the honor here where the conditions are improving.
Mother Supreme Gift is second in Hakodate Sprint S, and my sister All at Once is a clan with many short-distance horses such as Ibis Summer Dash wins, but Presage Lift has a scene where he awakens at 2400 m because his father is Harbinger. It is one that has the potential to run big.
▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Oaks Edition”
Author profile
Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.
