Article Summary
Due to the large consumption of troops and equipment during the One Year War
Insufficient military power for counterattack
The leaked documents also contain the US government’s assessment of “unsatisfactory”
[서울=뉴시스] Correspondent Kang Young-jin = The New York Times (NYT) reported on the 10th (local time) that Ukraine is expected to start a counterattack within a month or two, but the chances of winning are slim. In addition, the Washington Post (WP) reported that, according to leaked intelligence documents, the United States judges that Ukraine’s counterattack will be difficult to achieve great success.
The New York Times reported on the 8th that Mikhailo Podolak, aide to the President of Ukraine, said, “We must accelerate the change in politics and among the political elite in Russia with a great counterattack. Otherwise, the war will not end,” he said.
The NYT pointed out, however, that it is unclear whether the Ukrainian army has enough strength to counterattack because its strength has weakened over the course of a year-long war.
The NYT reported that the Russians had been building a defensive line for months, and experts say that if a counterattack begins, it will be an uphill battle with heavy casualties on both sides.
The NYT reported that Podolak emphasized that the most important task is to change the perception of the war situation between Russia and Ukraine, the United States and Europe, and other Ukraine-sponsoring countries through decisive military strikes.
The NYT said that Podoljak hoped to block the Russian army’s offensive in southern Ukraine by recapturing parts of the Zaporizhia region and the neighboring Kherson region, cutting off the Russian army’s supply route from the Russian-occupied Crimean Peninsula and the Russian mainland. It is said that it plans to recapture the peninsula as well.
The NYT, however, assessed that it would be difficult for Ukraine to recapture the peninsula, as Russia had occupied the peninsula for eight years and fortified it with elite troops.
Meanwhile, the WP reported that U.S. intelligence officials assessed that Ukraine would be unable to achieve its goal of a counterattack in the spring due to a significant shortage of troops, ammunition and equipment.
Among the leaked secret intelligence documents, the WP said, a document classified as “top secret” written in early February estimated that there were “not many” territories that might be recaptured in a counterattack by the Ukrainian military due to a “continual shortage of troops”. In addition to the solid Russian defense line, the document also contains an assessment that “Ukrainian troops continue to lack training and ammunition supply, which may make it difficult to advance and cause high casualties.”
The WP also reported that U.S. officials revealed that even if the contents of the leaked documents were not the same, the prospect that the counterattack would not be successful is also shown in the secret documents of the National Intelligence Commission (NIC). The WP said that this was recently briefed to a small number of lawmakers.
After the assessment, the WP said that US officials discussed ways to strengthen Ukraine’s offensive capabilities with senior Ukrainian officials. said it did
U.S. officials stressed the dangers of dispersing forces too much, making it difficult to hold on to occupied territories due to long supply lines, the WP reported.
The WP reported that the conversation gave the impression that U.S. officials had an understanding of what Ukraine might achieve by its aggression and began to prepare accordingly.
☞ Sympathy Media Newsis [email protected] <저작권자ⓒ 공감언론 뉴시스통신사. 무단전재-재배포 금지.>
© Sympathetic Media Newsis News Agency. Unauthorized reproduction – redistribution prohibited
