column
2022.05.07
the past 10 years,NHK Mile CupThe most popular result in is[3-1-1-5]. Half of them are involved outside the betting ticket, including Grenadier Guards, who finished third last year, and Resistencia, who finished second in 2020. On the other hand, the 10th most popular and below are[1-3-3-82]and 7 horses are included in the betting ticket, so it is calculated that the dark horse has a big hole once every two years.
Looking at the spots in the order of the previous run, only 5 of the 30 horses in the 3rd place in the last 10 years have finished 1st in the previous run. Considering that the Oka Sho, which is also a 3-year-old spring GI, has 12 heads, the Satsuki Sho has 20 heads, the Oaks has 13 heads, and the Japan Derby has 13 heads, it can be said that the NHK Mile Cup has few consecutive good runs. .. In the past five years, none of the first horses in the previous race were involved in the betting ticket.
The reason why many rebounds due to the defeated horses in the previous race are seen at NHK Mile Cup is that the aptitude required for trial and production is different. The New Zealand Trophy, which has the largest number of runners, is a clockwise, tough Baba Nakayama course. On the other hand, the actual production is counterclockwise, and it is a light turf Tokyo course. Also, in Falcon S, the counterclockwise direction is the same because it is a Chukyo course, but the actual performance will be extended.
Other possible reasons include the course format, which is relatively unlikely to cause disadvantages, and the participation of the classic route group. From this, if you carefully examine the content and aptitude of the race so far, regardless of the order of the previous run, you will naturally be able to say “AnomaShould be visible.
■ Alluring Way
The debut was late with the Hanshin race at the end of last year, but he won the race and won the second prize at the same time as Matenrou Orion. It has been used from 1200m to 1400m so far, and in the third race, a mare-only mileage race, when he entered Elfin S, he marked his second win with a straightforward attack that escaped from second place.
The previous run was the Oka Sho, the first female horse classic, and although it was the 5th most popular, it was 8th. His finish order itself doesn’t look good, but despite the fact that there is a messy scene with the remaining 200m, he is running a close margin of 0 seconds 2 difference from the winning horse Stars on Earth and 0 seconds 1 difference for all 3 finishes. rice field. It is worthy of evaluation because it was crowned with one development.
The speed of handing over females is attractive, and even with stallion opponents, it can be used in Fuchu. I would like to pay close attention to the signs of the day only for the first Kanto transportation, but I think that the return is greater than the risk if it is this popularity. There is a good chance of becoming a high dividend messenger.
▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-NHK Mile Cup Edition”
Author profile
Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.
