In the past 10 years, the most popular result of Nakayama Himba S is[1-2-2-5]which is a poor win rate of 10% and a consecutive rate of 30%. Last year, the most popular Donna Atlaente sank to 9th place, and the trifecta dividend was over 140,000, which was a turbulent settlement.
Also, in the last 10 years, 4-6 popularity marked a high average of[5-3-2-20]. Furthermore, as the 10th or less popular hole horse is involved in the 5-horse betting ticket, it is a turbulent mare-only grade race.
It is the previous run / non-group races that are the driving force behind the high dividend. This year, Miss New York and Ruby Casablanca, who won the big prize title last year, are likely to share their popularity, and the others are likely to be odds for a big battle. Even so, the point of the strategy is to discover the “hole horse” while counting the race content and aptitude of the previous race.
■ Rosa Noir
From the 5th race of his debut, he turned to dirt and entered the open at Uchibo S (Nakayama Da 1800m). Although he continued to be sluggish, he escaped in Queen Stakes three runs before and made a good run in 6th place with a difference of 0 seconds and 4 seconds, and showed that he was able to pass the mare limited grade race on the turf.
Then, even in the previous run, December S, he made an escape move and produced a turbulence in an escape drama that kept Admire Hadal and others away. He was blessed with development and riding, but it should be appreciated that he was still persistent.
The camp declares “whatever it is Hana”. As the leading horses are concentrated in the rear, there is a high possibility that it will be an easy development for the less popular horse. The escape drama of the ambush causes turmoil.
Kinko Sho 2022 Expected Column List
▼ Overtake diagnosis
◆[S evaluation]Highest evaluation for horses that have not won the heavy prize “S” With a great sign, “You can win or lose”
◆[A evaluation]One of the most popular points, “A” evaluation.
▼ Anoma forecast
◆[Dangerous popular horses-Part 1]The most popular horses with the highest performance are “erased”.
▼ Data forecast
◆[Data capture-Part 1]A warning bell in one of the most popular conditions.
◆[Data capture-Part 2]A planet that emerges with the power of “people”.
▼ Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]GI horses will be in the “5 frames” of V for 2 consecutive years.
◆[Leg quality tendency]Chukyo in the opening week is “preceding settlement” rich
▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Kinko Sho Edition”
Author profile
Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.