Thursday was a tough day at the front, he said. Russian forces maintained the same strong pressure in Avdiyivka. The Russians attacked in various places, trying to throw the defending Ukrainians off balance. At the same time, there were attacks in Kupjansk and Bachmut districts. There are some such achievements, but so far they are not critical, says the expert. Heavy losses on both sides.
“At times there is complete déjà vu, as reports from Avdijivka begin to resemble reports from Bachmut and Soledar. The tactic chosen by the Russians to cling to one city and try to surround it costs a lot of casualties, but the Kremlin is not counting them. As soon as the weather worsens and the Ukrainians’ maneuvering forces and supply opportunities decrease, the Russians gain an advantage, strengthened by artillery fire and bombardment,” notes E. Papečkys.
According to him, so far the Ukrainians are defending themselves here successfully, although in very difficult battles. Will Avdijivka become the second Bakhmut? Anything is possible if the Ukrainians do not find an antidote to such tactics. True, such offensive operations greatly exhaust the Russians, and there is no possibility of developing an attack in depth. Let’s hope that Ukrainian forces will defend Avdijivka, says a military expert.
The Ukrainians continue to expand the bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnieper. However, you shouldn’t expect anything big here. To make it easier to imagine the scale of combat operations, 10 (ten) Ukrainian marines were transferred to attack one of the Russian positions. The battles of small groups take place there, there is no place for larger forces to establish themselves.
“Weather conditions allow the active operation of the Russian aviation, which uses 500 kg glide bombs with impunity, bombarding them from a safe distance. RBK-500 cluster bombs of this caliber also came into use. It is not clear whether the Russians are sweeping out old stocks or whether they managed to make 500 kg bombs, but more and more of them are being used every day,” the military expert thought.
Ukrainian drones circled Russia again and, according to the Russians, attacked targets in Crimea, but all were shot down or went down on their own.
The number of people setting fire to military commissariats in Russia is increasing
In Russia, special services are detaining more and more people who set fire to military commissariats or cars near them, flags are torn from “wagners” and other graves, and flowers are thrown. In fact, all this is more similar not to the actions of the Ukrainians (according to the Russians, they pay the perpetrators of the attacks), but to the provocations of the Russian repressive institutions, says E. Papečkys.
“It is very easy to impersonate Ukrainians and involve people who are psychologically unstable or have financial problems, all the data and necessary tools are available for this.
Today was a more interesting case. It is reported that a Ukrainian saboteur was arrested in Voronezh and was transferred to Russia in 2022. at the end, he was also operating here with a forged Russian passport. He is said to have been arrested when he arrived on a bicycle dressed as a food delivery company to help detonate an explosive device intended for a senior officer.
The story seems to be true. Many Ukrainian saboteurs and members of the resistance were detected when they tried to observe targets – objects and persons. Russian law enforcement agencies have extensive experience tracking down such monitors, especially if they have been active for a long time. Surveillance cameras are also widely used for this.
So that resistance and attacks in occupied and state aggressor territories is a dangerous job that requires knowledge, skills and experience. Although sometimes luck is just lacking,” the military expert summarizes.
Armenia’s spit for Russia
A meeting of the Council of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) is taking place in Minsk. V. Putin also came to it on Thursday. But not a single representative of Armenia came. “Of course, Aliaksandr Lukashenka did not miss the opportunity to intensify this topic. No matter what he says, the Armenians have sent a very clear signal to both Russia and the CSTO under its control,” says E. Papečkys.
#Military #expert #tactics #cost #lot #casualties #Kremlin #counting
2024-09-03 01:05:36
