2023-07-16 11:20:35
According to the Central Meteorological Bureau, the center of mild typhoon Tali is at 19.4 degrees north latitude and 114.6 degrees east longitude at 8:00 p.m. today, and it is heading west-northwest at a speed of 17 kilometers per hour. Meteorological expert Wu Derong said earlier that the light Taiwan “Tai Li” will intensify to a moderate level tomorrow, heading towards Guangdong (Leizhou Peninsula) without invading Taiwan.
The Central Meteorological Bureau originally issued a heavy rain report at 4 p.m., pointing out that the strong convection in the followingnoon and the influence of the cloud system around the typhoon are likely to cause heavy rainfall with a short delay. Today, there will be local heavy rain or torrential rain in Yunlin County. The peninsula, Orchid Island, and Green Island have a chance of localized heavy rain, but as the rainfall tends to ease, the heavy rain warning was lifted at 6:55 p.m.
According to the website of the Bureau of Meteorology, as of regarding 3:00 p.m. today, Hengchun Township, Pingtung County had the most accumulated rainfall at 129.5 millimeters, and Erlun Township, Yunlin County had the most rainfall at 108.5 millimeters.
The Central Meteorological Administration released high temperature information at 2:35 p.m., pointing out that the weather is hot and hot. New Taipei City and Yunlin County are under orange lights around noon today, and there is a possibility of extreme high temperatures of 38 degrees Celsius; Taipei City, Taichung City, Changhua County, Nantou County, Chiayi County, Tainan City, and Kaohsiung City have orange lights, and there is a possibility of consecutive high temperatures of 36 degrees, please pay more attention. Taoyuan City, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, and Kinmen County are yellow lights, please pay attention.
In addition, according to the website of the Meteorological Bureau, the center of mild typhoon Taili is at 19.4 degrees north latitude and 114.6 degrees east longitude at 8:00 p.m. The central air pressure is 982 hPa, the maximum wind speed near the center is 28 meters per second, and the maximum instantaneous gust is 35 meters per second. 150 kilometers to the south), the average storm radius of the ten-level wind is – kilometers.
Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Sciences of Central University, said today in the column “Sanlizhun Meteorology. Boss leaking secrets” that the latest European (ECMWF) model simulation shows that from today to Wednesday (16th to 19th) the “monsoon low pressure circulation” (mosoon gyre) Affected, there is a lot of moisture, and there is a chance of occasional local short-term showers in various places. There will be heavy rain in Hengchun Peninsula and Huadong; the atmosphere is unstable, and there will be strong convection in the followingnoon. Lightning strikes, strong winds, and instant heavy rainfall).
Wu Derong said that the latest model simulation shows that from Thursday to Saturday (20th to 22nd), the “monsoon low-pressure circulation” will move westward, the moisture will decrease, it will be sunny and hot, pay attention to sun protection and prevent heatstroke; There are thunderstorms on flat land in the followingnoon, but the convective intensity weakens and the scope narrows.
He said that the “track potential forecast map” of the Central Meteorological Administration shows that the light platform “Tai Li” will intensify to moderate tomorrow, heading towards Guangdong (Leizhou Peninsula) without invading Taiwan. The latest European ensemble model simulation shows that the tropical disturbance develops in the eastern sea of the Philippines, and the probability of reaching a light station or above rises to 40% at 20:00 on the 20th, and then advances to the northwest. 80%, and the southern tip of Taiwan is also exposed to a 40% chance of attack. However, this is the simulation of the 9th day, and the model will still be greatly adjusted, so we should continue to observe it, and don’t rush to draw conclusions.
Editor: Qin Yingwen
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