The 136th held at Tokyo Racecourse on the 29thMeguro KinenThe frame order of (GII, turf 2500m) was announced by JRA on the 27th.
Expectations for consecutive victoriesWin KiitosIs in the 8th frame 16th, this year’s Mankatsu S winning horseMacau dollIs the 13th in the 7th frame, and it will take the second win of the heavy prize since last year’s American JCCAristotleIs the 15th in the 7th frame, and the title holder is the 2nd place with a dismissal difference in the previous Nikkei Sho.BockeriniEntered the 1st frame 2nd.
Here is a hint of forecast from the data trend of the past 10 years.Frame order / jockey dataWill be analyzed
◆[Meguro Kinen 2022]Training video & reference race
■ Trend in frame order / results by jockey
* If the graph is not displayedHere
In the 7 slots with the most 4 wins,Macau doll、Asamano ItazuraWhenAristotleEntered. The four winners had in common that they were within the fourth place in the previous race, but they do not fall under these three. Also, I’m worried that the jockeys who ride on these three horses are not in the third place on the same course.
Also, although he has won the most 3 wins on the same course.Paradise leafRiding onC. LemerIt’s a jockey. At the 2020 Argentine Republic Cup, he won the 3rd most popular authority in the 18th place in the 8th slot, and at the 17th Meguro Kinen, he won the 8th most popular fame game. There is no loss in being cautious because the number of wins and the winning percentage at the Tokyo Racecourse are the highest among the jockeys who ride.
Also, the double win rate that exceeds C. Lemer in the same course isBaziouRiding onKeita TosakiIt’s a jockey. The result when entering the 2nd slot in the same course is[0-1-1-0]and the double win rate is 100%, so I would like to keep it as a pimp candidate.
Japan Derby (Tokyo Yushun) 2022 Forecast Column List
▼ Overtake diagnosis
◆[Diagnosis of overtaking]“Potential for big work” by crushing the assassin with a high evaluation “A” that exceeds the Satsuki Sho group
◆[Diagnosis of overtaking]Satsuki Sho’s top horses are given a “B” rating.
▼ Anoma forecast
◆[Dangerous popular horses]Assumed 3 or more popular horses are “erased” “I hate to combine with other horses”
▼ Data forecast
◆[Data capture-Part 1]Satsuki Sho 1st and 2nd place will be boosted by “light and dark” and “100% betting ticket rate” …
▼ Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]Assumed 1 Popular Equinox is Ogai 8 frame No. 18 Onimon with a betting ticket rate of only “6.7%” in the past 10 years
◆[Previous Rote]7 wins in the last 10 years Satsuki Sho group Equinox and Danon Beluga win
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