Markets are awaiting today’s labor market report to try to predict the interest path

The Standard & Poor’s index managed to achieve slight gains, Thursday, and closed up 0.31% to 3,967.23 points, ending a series of losses that extended four sessions thanks to a late rise in the session as investors awaited a major report on the labor market, Friday.
While the Nasdaq index fell 0.26% at the close on Thursday, the Dow Jones index rose 145.92 points, or 0.46%, to 31656.35 points.
Data showed that weekly US jobless claims fell more than expected to a two-month low last week, and layoffs fell in August, suggesting the Federal Reserve will need to keep raising interest rates sharply to slow the labor market.
Investors are now waiting for the monthly non-farm payrolls report on Friday to get more indications regarding the labor market.
Unemployment claims
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell to a two-month low last week, and layoffs fell in August, suggesting the Federal Reserve will need to keep raising interest rates sharply to slow the labor market.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates significantly to tame inflation by curbing demand in all sectors of the economy.
The Labor Department said Thursday that first-time applications for state unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted number of 232,000 in the week ending August 27.
A survey conducted by the Institute for Supply Management on Thursday confirmed strong demand for workers and revealed a sharp recovery in employment in the manufacturing sector in August following three months of contraction.
The survey showed that “companies continued to hire at strong rates in August, with little evidence of layoffs, hiring freezes, or staff reductions through attrition.”
The data for the previous week was revised to show a decrease of 5,000 orders from what was previously announced. Economists polled by Archyde.com had expected 248,000 orders in the last week.
Despite the large increases in interest rates approved by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation, which raised the risk of a recession, there are no signs yet of widespread layoffs.
Demands remain below the 270-300K range that economists say indicates an actual slowdown in the labor market.
The government said this week that 11.2 million jobs were created at the end of July, with two jobs for every unemployed person. The flexibility of the labor market continues to dispel fears that the economy is in recession following the GDP contraction in the first half of the year.
The survey confirmed the evidence that the economy is expanding. The manufacturing PMI remained stable at 52.8 points last month. A reading above the 50 threshold indicates an expansion in the manufacturing industries, which represent 11.9 percent of the US economy.
Five of the six largest manufacturing sectors, including machinery and transportation equipment, computer and electronic products, posted moderate to strong growth.
Economists still expect job growth to slow, especially as worker productivity continues to decline at unsustainable rates, putting further pressure on labor costs.
(Archyde.com)

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