WASHINGTON, United States (EFE).— With a virtual tie in the national polls, the two candidates for the November 5 elections, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, focus their efforts on the final stretch of the campaign in a marathon of rallies in a handful of battleground states: Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan.
The average of the last 19 national surveys compiled by the 270towin.com website places Kamala Harris with a 1.1% advantage over Trump: the vice president would have 48.3% compared to her rival’s 47.2%, within the margin of error of the polls.
This figure represents the popular vote, although in the United States the presidential election is decided indirectly through the Electoral College, which has 538 delegates. This system allows a candidate to win the presidency even if he loses the popular vote.
Each of the country’s 50 states distributes a specific number of delegates. Although most states have a clear voting trend, there are 7 considered “hinge” states that would lean towards any candidate: Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Arizona.
It is in these states where the campaigns have concentrated their advertising investment and where the candidates are dedicating most of their time, which is reflected in their agendas for these last few days.
Kamala Harris visits Wisconsin today, with events in Appleton and Milwaukee, and tomorrow she will travel to Atlanta, Georgia, and Charlotte, North Carolina.
Trump, for his part, holds rallies today in Warren, Michigan, and Milwaukee, and tomorrow he will visit Gastonia and Greensboro in North Carolina, making another stop that day in Salem, Virginia.
The last state where he will stop, Virginia, is not considered a “hinge” and the polls show Kamala ahead, but it is a stop that Trump will possibly take advantage of to spread his theories about alleged electoral fraud related to the vote of migrants, allegations that lack of foundation.
Recently, the Republican governor of Virginia removed 1,600 people from the electoral lists, alleging lack of accreditation of US citizenship, a controversial measure that the Supreme Court validated the day before yesterday.
Polls show very close results in the key states that the candidates will visit in the coming days.
In Wisconsin, which sends 10 delegates to the Electoral College, the average poll indicates that Kamala leads Trump by seven tenths: 48.7% to 48%.
In Georgia, with 16 delegates, Trump leads Kamala by 1.9 points: 48.8% to 46.9%. That is practically the difference that the vice president has over the Republican in Michigan, with 15 delegates: 48.5% versus 46.7%.
And in North Carolina, with 16 other delegates, Trump is ahead by 1.1 points: 48.4% to 47.3%.
#Marathon #rallies
**Interview with Political Analyst Dr. Emily Thompson on the Harris-Trump Campaign Dynamics**
**Interviewer:** Good afternoon, Dr. Thompson. Thank you for joining us to discuss the upcoming presidential election. With the national polls showing a near tie between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, how do you interpret these numbers as we approach November 5?
**Dr. Thompson:** Good afternoon! It’s a pleasure to be here. The current polling data indicates a highly competitive race, which is quite typical for U.S. elections, especially when the candidates are so closely matched. Harris holding a 1.1% lead is very small, and it highlights how critical every vote will be in this election.
**Interviewer:** The candidates are focusing their attention on battleground states like Wisconsin, Georgia, and North Carolina. Why are these states so crucial for both campaigns?
**Dr. Thompson:** Battleground states are pivotal because they can swing either way, making them key to winning the Electoral College. States like Georgia and Wisconsin have been increasingly competitive in recent years. Winning these states can secure a pathway to victory, even if a candidate loses the overall popular vote.
**Interviewer:** Speaking of the Electoral College, many viewers often express confusion regarding its role compared to the popular vote. Can you explain this system?
**Dr. Thompson:** Absolutely. The United States uses the Electoral College to formally elect the president. Each state has a certain number of electoral votes, which roughly correspond to its population. When citizens vote, they are technically voting for a slate of electors pledged to their chosen candidate. Therefore, it is possible for a candidate to win the presidency without winning the popular vote, as we saw in the 2016 election.
**Interviewer:** As the campaigns ramp up their efforts, what strategies do you expect from both candidates in these final days?
**Dr. Thompson:** Candidates typically double down on rallying their base, focusing on key issues, and countering their opponent’s narratives. Harris may emphasize her administration’s accomplishments and appeal to progressive voters, while Trump may lean into his outsider status and economic messaging to rally his supporters. Expect to see both candidates making targeted appeals in those critical states.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for your insights, Dr. Thompson. It will certainly be interesting to see how the final weeks unfold.
**Dr. Thompson:** Thank you for having me. It’s an exciting time in U.S. politics, and every detail will matter as we approach the election!
