Lula has better approval in the first 3 months of his term than Jair Bolsonaro had in the same period. Current president registers 38% good/excellent, while former president added 30%. Lula is better evaluated among northeasterners, poor and young people, and has a worse evaluation among residents of the South, evangelicals and rich
(Image: Lula Marques, Agência Brasil)
This Saturday (1) Datafolha released the first evaluation survey of the Lula government. The survey points out that President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is approved by 38% of Brazilians, and disapproved by 29%. There are 30% of those who consider it regular and 3% did not know how to answer.
The result shows that Lula is better evaluated than Bolsonaro in the first 3 months of government. In April 2019, the former president scored 30% poor/terrible and 32% excellent/good. It was regular for 33%.
Lula marks the beginning of his government with less popularity than that registered in his two previous visits to the Planalto Palace. In the 90 days of 2003, it was approved by 43%, with only 10% disapproving, while the mark was 48% and 14%, respectively, in the same period in 2007.
Compared to the 90-day mark of other first-term presidents, his approval is similar to that of Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB, 39% in 1995), Fernando Collor (PRN, 36% in 1990) and Itamar Franco (PMDB, 34% in 1992). It is below the successor, Dilma Rousseff (PT), who had 47% excellent/good in 2011.
FHC was re-elected, but ended his second term poorly evaluated and did not choose a successor. Lula also won the dispute to stay in office and was acclaimed. Collor and Dilma ended up being impeached.
Today’s data express what observation of political reality shows: Lula won a very close election once morest Bolsonaro in a divided country, with 1.8 percentage points above his rival in the second round.
Lula is best evaluated or receives the least disapproval among northeasterns (53% excellent and good in the group, which adds up to 26% of the Datafolha sample), the poorest (21% bad / very bad among those who earn up to 2 minimum wages, 55% of the ears) and young people (17% of bad very bad among the 17% who are between 16 and 24 years old).
On the other hand, the traditionally more Bolsonarist electorate is more resistant to the PT. He only has 29% approval in the South (15% of the sample), 28% among evangelicals (27% of the ears) and 30% among the richest.
Datafolha also asks what respondents expect for the government in the future. The results were as follows:
50% believe that the Lula government will be great or good;
27% believe it will be regular;
21% believe it will be bad or terrible;
1% might not answer.