“The modeling part that has simply been accomplished focuses on the longer term operation of the facility system. 5 doable situations have been modeled, every of which predicts how Lithuania will obtain 100% by 2030. the usage of renewable vitality sources for electrical energy manufacturing,” the LEA mentioned in an announcement.
The company made the conclusion following finishing one of many phases of the “LT100” modeling examine of the Lithuanian vitality system.
Director of LEA Agnė Bagočiutė says that as Lithuania rapidly strikes to 100% of renewable vitality sources, an vitality system evaluation is critical, and LEA and NREL will counsel essentially the most favorable fashions.
It’s claimed that future selections will assist Lithuania to cut back electrical energy imports, grow to be an exporter of electrical energy and management value spikes.
In keeping with the company, the situations are based mostly on long-term plans of community operators and market analysis, in addition to following assessing the potential demand for hydrogen within the industrial and transport sectors, the electrical energy demand for hydrogen produced in Lithuania till 2030.
In keeping with LEA, the examine confirmed that Lithuania may export electrical energy if it used the potential of renewable vitality, had versatile manufacturing capacities and powerful connections with European Union nations.
Nonetheless, it’s believed that there might be durations, particularly in January and February, when the photo voltaic and onshore wind farms will nonetheless not produce sufficient electrical energy, then the vitality should be imported, primarily from Sweden.
In keeping with LEA forecasts, in 2030 the common value of electrical energy, excluding the affect of inflation, will attain regarding 55 euros per megawatt hour (MWh) – regarding 30 p.c. lower than at current.
In keeping with the company’s calculations, as a result of rising manufacturing from renewable sources, electrical energy import accounted for 40.7 p.c in the course of the 4 months of this yr. of the full demand, when on the similar time final yr – 57.3 p.c, the yr earlier than – regarding 63.5 p.c.
All modeling of the system by LEA and NREL must be accomplished in a yr and a half.
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2024-05-18 11:15:55