2023-05-16 05:51:33
Danny Haddad wrote on the mtv website: The data available so far, as a result of the movement of political contacts, indicate that electing a president for the republic will be impossible in the near future, especially before mid-June, which is the date set by Speaker Nabih Berri for the election, two weeks away from the end of his term. Governor of the Bank of Lebanon.
The information indicates that the Shiite duo is fully aware that bringing Suleiman Franjieh to Baabda Palace is extremely difficult, and the Saudi ambassador’s announcement that he does not place a “veto” on Franjieh’s name will not work for him, as long as the latter’s reaching 65 votes is currently impossible, and likewise securing a quorum.
Likewise, any step by the opposition team to unite with the Free Patriotic Movement on the name of one candidate will face a disruption of the quorum by the duo and its allies, which means that it is impossible for any candidate that Hezbollah does not approve of, at least. Knowing that the negotiations on this level are continuing, and it is noteworthy that the “forces” are skeptical regarding the possibility of the “current” separating from the “party”.
From here, this presidential scene will remain in a stalemate, and no one knows how long it will last, and external variables will not benefit as long as those inside cling to their opinions. Therefore, it will require a major external strike to push for a change in this scene, using the stick of force, not the carrot of diplomacy.
This strike may come, according to informed sources, in the form of sanctions directed at more than one Lebanese political figure, perhaps including candidates, to remove them from the presidential race on the one hand, and to push some of those who support them to change their position on the other hand.
These sources do not exclude that clear words will be issued, following a few weeks, that include threats of sanctions, as a preliminary step, knowing that the US administration does not usually operate with the logic of warning, but rather directs its “strike” suddenly.
These sources believe that there is no other factor currently available capable of bringing regarding a revolution in the scene, and therefore the issuance of sanctions once morest those who obstruct the election of a president in Lebanon and cause the continuation of the collapse and more vacancies in more than one position becomes a matter of course.
In this regard, it should be noted that the US administration has previously created complete files on a number of Lebanese political figures, which facilitates the decision to issue sanctions once morest them, when the appropriate time, specifically political, becomes available for that.
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