Lebanon Debate: Expert Analysis on Military Escalation and Strategic Situation

2023-11-09 11:17:48

“Lebanon Debate”

The military and strategic expert, retired Brigadier General Amin Hoteit, said, “The operational situation on the front in the south has maintained its stability, with the issue of targets rising to a degree, since the Israeli enemy targeted the civilian car, which claimed the lives of three girls and their grandmother.”

In an interview with “Lebanon Debate,” Hoteit said: “This expanded the range of targets that could be dealt with by the resistance, which made it fire missiles at Kiryat Shmona. It appears that these missiles led to the killing of two Israeli civilians and the wounding of a third, and this is considered an advancement.” degree on the escalation ladder.

Will this escalation continue in this direction? Hoteit replied, “There are two hypotheses:

The first hypothesis: The Israeli enemy, which is approaching a humanitarian truce, will be forced to reduce its escalation in Gaza, and also reduce its escalation in the south. Then we can say that things will remain as they are with a decline in the intensity of the escalation.

– The second hypothesis: The Israeli enemy will not comply with the requirements of the field, and will act additionally foolishly, and this means that the escalation will continue.”

He pointed out, “Until this moment, whether with the first hypothesis or with the second hypothesis, I do not find in the field or on the horizon a likely possibility that the situation will explode into a comprehensive war. Rather, I find a preservation of the contents of the war that is restricted to its goals, means, and location, while expanding the circumstance when necessary.”

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And about the flight of Israeli enemy planes over Beirut today? Hoteit replied: “The Israeli enemy wants to send intimidating messages, to show its readiness for all possibilities, but until this moment I do not see on the horizon the possibility of a comprehensive explosion in Lebanon.”

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