2024-03-01 16:40:00
Gallup poll shows Democratic Party ahead by 17% in Seoul, down 14% in one week in Honam. When asked about winning the general election, Democratic Party 38% – Democratic Party 35%.
According to a Gallup Korea opinion poll released 40 days ahead of the general election, the People Power Party’s approval rating reached the 40% range for the first time since the first week of July 2022 (41%). The approval rating gap between the People Power Party and the Democratic Party of Korea widened to outside the margin of error (±3.1%) in just six months. The positive evaluation of President Yoon Seok-yeol’s job performance was found to be 39%, the highest in 1 year and 8 months. The approval ratings of President Yoon and the ruling party rose together.
According to the results of a poll conducted by Gallup Korea on 1,001 people aged 18 or older across the country from the 27th to the 29th of last month and announced on the 1st of this month, the People Power Party recorded 40%, up 3 percentage points from the previous week (37%) in the survey of political party support. On the other hand, the Democratic Party recorded 33%, down 2 percentage points during the same period. When asked which political party they thought would win the April general election, the People Power Party was 38% and the Democratic Party was 35%, a difference within the margin of error.
In the Seoul region, the biggest battleground for the general election, the People Power Party’s approval rating was 43%, up 6 percentage points from the previous week (37%), and the Democratic Party’s approval rating fell 4 percentage points over the same period to 26%, with the People Power Party being 17 percentage points higher than the Democratic Party. Gallup said, “Recently, there has been upheaval in the Democratic Party, with conflicts related to nominations intensifying and some lawmakers withdrawing from the party,” and “The joint coalition in the third zone is also a bigger factor in change in the pan-opposition area.” In Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, which includes the fierce battleground ‘Nakdong River Belt’, the gap between the People Power Party (50%) and the Democratic Party (22%) was 28 percentage points.
The Democratic Party’s approval rating in the Gwangju and Jeolla regions, which are the party’s largest support base, was 53%, down 14 percentage points from Jeonju (67%). At the same time, in the Honam region, 26% of all respondents identified themselves as Shamans, a 16% increase compared to Jeonju, which was 10%. A Democratic Party official said, “It appears that even the Democratic Party’s traditional supporters have turned their backs on the ‘secret secret’ controversy that arose during the recent nomination process and the resulting infighting within the party.”
The positive evaluation of President Yoon’s job performance was 39%, up 5 percentage points from the previous week (34%), and the negative evaluation was 53%, down 5 percentage points from the previous week’s survey. President Yoon has not been able to recover the positive evaluation in the 40% range since the 5th week (42%) in June 2022, immediately after taking office, but this time it is close to 40%. The most common reason for positive evaluation was ‘expansion of medical school seats’ (21%). This survey was conducted through telephone interviews with investigators using random sampling of wireless phone virtual numbers. The response rate was 15.8%. See the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
Reporter Kim Jun-il jikim@donga.com
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