With less than a month until the presidential elections, the latest Quinnipiac University poll reveals that the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris loses ground, placing itself behind Republican Donald Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin.
Kamala has lost several points of voting intention in Pennsylvania, where she still leads in the race.
Kamala Harris loses ground to Trump
The announcement by Harris’ team, which reports that the Democratic presidential candidate and current vice president of Joe Biden’s Government has raised more than $1 billion in less than three months of campaigning, has been overshadowed by recent surveys that indicate that is losing support in several key states for the elections, known as ‘swing states’, vital for its aspirations of success in the November 5 elections.
According to a study by Quinnipiac University, released on Wednesday, October 9, Kamala Harris is behind Trump in Michigan, where the former president and Republican candidate has 50% voting intention, compared to 47% for the Democratic candidate.
Both races reflect a decrease in voting intention for Harris, who just a month ago had a 5-point lead in Michigan (50 to 45) and a one-point lead in Wisconsin.
According to the same survey, Harris still maintains her advantage over Trump in Pennsylvania, reaching 49% voting intention, which represents 3 points less than the Republican, who registers 46%. The Democratic candidate has seen her advantage reduce in just 30 days, since in the previous survey in the same state she led with 51% compared to Trump’s 46%.
It should be noted that to triumph in these 3 states, as the then-candidate Biden did in 2020, it is essential for Harris’s aspirations to be able to reach 370 Electoral College votes and thus reach the presidency.
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Analysis: Kamala Harris Loses Ground in Key States, but Still Has a Fighting Chance
As the US presidential election approaches, recent polls have revealed that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris is losing ground in several key states, including Michigan and Wisconsin. According to a study by Quinnipiac University, released on October 9, Harris trails behind Republican candidate Donald Trump in these states, despite having had leads in previous surveys.
However, a deeper dive into recent polls and trends suggests that Harris still has a fighting chance. Despite losing ground, she maintains a slim lead in Pennsylvania, a crucial swing state. Furthermore, recent polls have shown that Harris is making gains among Republican voters, a demographic that has traditionally been difficult for Democrats to crack [[3]].
Additionally, election polls have shown that Harris is ahead in some polls, with voters set to go to the polls on November 5 to elect their next president [[1]]. Moreover, polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls, giving a glimpse of a more nuanced picture [[2]].
While it is true that Harris’ team has reported raising over $1 billion in less than three months of campaigning, a significant achievement that could give her a boost in the final stretch of the campaign, the recent surveys highlighting her decline in key states cannot be ignored.
while Harris’ loss of ground in key states is a cause for concern, it is premature to write off her chances entirely. With less than a month to go until the election, the Democratic candidate still has time to regain momentum and make a push for victory. It remains to be seen how the campaign will unfold, but one thing is certain – the coming weeks will be crucial in determining the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election.
Sources:
- US election polls: Who is ahead – Harris or Trump?
- Election 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump
- Kamala Harris Is Winning Over Republicans From Trump