Published at 2:08 a.m. Updated at 6:00 a.m.
Shane Goldmacher et Ruth Igielnik
The New York Times
Vice President Kamala Harris stormed Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, shortly after Donald Trump appeared poised to capture those states while President Joe Biden was still the Democratic nominee.
The new polls of the New York Times and Siena College show how quickly Ms. Harris has reshaped the map of key states.
Ms Harris now leads Mr Trump among likely voters in Arizona, 50% to 45%, and has edged out Mr Trump in North Carolina – a state Mr Trump won four years ago – while narrowing her lead in Georgia and Nevada.
Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris are tied at 48 percent in a four-state average in polls conducted Aug. 8-15.
That represents a marked improvement for Democrats from May, when Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden 50% to 41% in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada in the previous round of polls. New York Times-Siena College, which did not include North Carolina.
New polls show that Ms. Harris is consolidating parts of the Democratic base that have been hesitant to support Mr. Biden, particularly young voters, nonwhites and women.
Last week, the polls New York Times-Siena College showed Ms Harris narrowly ahead of Mr Trump in the three northern states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In new polls, Mr. Trump leads in Georgia 50 percent to 46 percent, and in Nevada, he has 48 percent to Ms. Harris’s 47 percent. In North Carolina, she has 49 percent of likely voters to Mr. Trump’s 47 percent.
“Huge progress” for Harris
Polls show some risks for Ms. Harris as she rallies Democrats to her cause, including the fact that more registered voters see her as too left-wing (43%) than those who see Mr. Trump as too conservative (33%). So far, she is narrowly ahead of him among independent voters.
Mr. Trump maintains the political advantage on two issues — the economy and immigration — that voters see as most important to the country.
Ms. Harris leads nonwhite voters in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada by 29 percentage points; Mr. Biden led nonwhite voters in those same states by 17 percentage points in May. Mr. Trump is maximizing his support among white voters without a college degree, garnering 66 percent support from them in all four states.
Overall, voters gave Ms. Harris a 48 percent favorable rating, the same as her unfavorable rating. An equal rating is a huge improvement: In a national survey conducted in February, voters viewed her more unfavorably by a margin of 19 percentage points. Mr. Trump received an identical 48 percent favorable rating, virtually unchanged from May.
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