Kamala Harris “closer than Trump to victory”, US poll on swing states –

The Washington Post writes that US Vice President Kamala Harris would become the frontrunner in the presidential election if it were held now. Since Joe Biden dropped out of the race, Harris’s support across the country has increased by an average of 2 percentage points. At the same time, she is leading in two of the seven swing states (Wisconsin and Pennsylvania), gaining an average of 2.1 percentage points after Biden’s decision. In addition, Harris has significantly reduced her lead over Republican Donald Trump in Michigan, trailing the former president by less than 1 percentage point, and will likely reach her level of support in the state in the coming days.

According to the newspaper, in the current scenario, Trump needs to win a majority of the vote in two groups of swing states: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, as well as Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. For Harris to defeat her competitor in the election, she would only need to win one of these two groups of states. As of today, Trump would likely win the support of the majority of the Electoral College if the votes in the swing states were distributed according to the polls. At the same time, the newspaper notes that the research results may not be accurate and that Harris has two “paths to victory” compared to Trump, making her the favorite in the race.