NEW YORK, Oct 25 (EFE).— Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, Republican and Democratic candidates, respectively, for the presidency of the United States, are in a very tight technical tie, according to two new polls on electoral preferences published yesterday by the CNN television network and by the newspaper “The New York Times”.
The national survey published by CNN was conducted by the SSRS company between October 20 and 23, with a sample of 1,704 voters, and shows 47% support for both Trump and Kamala Harris.
The network recalls that, unlike the other two elections in which Trump ran, in 2016 and 2020, when his rival in each case gained several points from him in the polls, this time the difference with his opponent is insignificant.
CNN highlights that, in a particularly turbulent election, the polls have shown great stability and a very high percentage of voters who have decided since the beginning of the campaign (85%) compared to 15% who have changed their minds.
Of the total, 11% declare themselves still undecided or open to changing their mind.
Commuting States
As for the “New York Times” survey, conducted by Siena College, it gives Kamala 49% support compared to Trump’s 48% at the national level.
In a table of support for the swing states, four are led by Kamala and three by Trump, in both cases by only one point of difference, insignificant considering the margin of error.
There are other states where the advantage is already much clearer, but they are distributed: Kamala is 6 points or more ahead in Minnesota, New Hampshire or Virginia; Trump, the same advantage in Texas, Florida and Ohio.
This survey highlights that if no changes were detected from yesterday to November 5, Kamala would achieve 276 electoral votes (270 being the majority) compared to Trump’s 262, but the difference is so short that these figures could be reversed if the survey is underestimating the support of the former president or if some of his supporters are hiding their intention to vote, two facts that were detected in previous elections.
The “New York Times” poll did detect a slight trend of change in favor of Trump in the last two weeks, both nationally and in the seven hinge states, with the only exception of Michigan.
Early voting
Nearly 33 million Americans have already voted early before the official date of November 5, both by mail (17.8 million) and in person (15 million) in those states where that possibility has already been opened.
According to data collected by the Electoral Laboratory of the University of Florida, the states where the most votes have been registered are Texas (3.3 million), Florida (3.3) and California (3.2), while Georgia and North Carolina also exceed 2 millions.
Rally Delay
Trump delays appearance at Michigan rally due to delay in interview with Rogan.
Interview
The Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump, yesterday delayed his appearance in Michigan three hours due to the delay in an interview on Joe Rogan’s popular podcast, which he recorded yesterday in Austin, Texas. The former president apologized.
Beyoncé
For her part, the singer Beyoncé yesterday gave her support to the candidacy of Vice President Kamala Harris and asked Americans to vote for the Democrat to change the destiny of the country.
Beyoncé
During a speech in Houston – the artist’s hometown – and less than two weeks before the elections, Beyoncé drew Kamala Harris as a figure who will cement the promise of “freedom” inscribed in the idea of the American nation.
“Prophecy”
“The generations of our ancestors are whispering a prophecy (…) it is time for America to sing a new song, a song of unity, dignity and opportunity,” he said.
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**Interview Title: Analyzing the 2024 Presidential Race: Trump vs. Harris**
**Host:** Welcome to today’s segment on the 2024 presidential race. With us is political analyst Emily Johnson. Emily, thank you for joining us.
**Emily:** Thank you for having me!
**Host:** Emily, recent polls show Trump and Harris in a virtual tie, with CNN reporting 47% support for both candidates. What do you make of this tight race?
**Emily:** It’s fascinating, isn’t it? Unlike the previous elections in 2016 and 2020, where Trump trailed his opponents, this time he’s holding his ground remarkably well. The stability in the polls suggests a significant level of commitment from voters, with 85% indicating they’ve made up their minds early in the campaign.
**Host:** That’s an interesting point. And the fact that only 11% remain undecided could be crucial. What impact do you think this undecided group will have as we approach Election Day?
**Emily:** Those 11% could be pivotal. They could swing the election one way or the other, particularly in battleground states. Historically, undecided voters tend to lean towards the candidate that best resonates with their concerns as Election Day approaches.
**Host:** Speaking of battleground states, the New York Times poll shows a narrow lead for Harris nationally with her at 49% to Trump’s 48%. Yet, they also highlight a distribution of advantages in various states. Can you break this down for us?
**Emily:** Certainly! While Harris appears to lead in states like Minnesota and Virginia, Trump holds his ground in Texas and Florida. This uneven support illustrates the complex landscape of U.S. voters. As we know, electoral votes play a critical role. Even if Harris is slightly ahead in national polls, a strong performance by Trump in key states might shift the overall electoral map.
**Host:** Right. There’s also a mention of historical trends regarding Trump’s voter support potentially being underestimated. How might this affect the upcoming election?
**Emily:** That’s a significant concern. In previous elections, there’s evidence that Trump’s supporters may not always openly express their intentions to vote, leading to polls underestimating his actual support. If that trend continues, he could surprise many on Election Day.
**Host:** Very insightful! Lastly, what advice would you give voters preparing for this election, given the tight race?
**Emily:** I would encourage voters to make informed decisions by looking beyond party lines and considering candidates’ policies and proposed changes. Engaging in discussions and considering differing perspectives can also help voters solidify their choices. Every vote matters, especially in such a close race.
**Host:** Thank you, Emily, for sharing your insights on this critical election. It’s certainly shaping up to be an exciting few weeks ahead!
**Emily:** Thank you for having me! I’m looking forward to seeing how it unfolds.
**Host:** And thank you to our audience for tuning in. Stay informed as we approach the election!