Israel’s war council meets again today at 14:00, the Jerusalem Post attempts to analyze how the Israeli side could respond to what happened on Sunday night and in the early hours of Sunday morning.
“What if the Israel decide to answer? What if he decides to finally bomb his nuclear program Iran; Such a scenario had been ruled out for years but now there is a thought about how this could happen,” the Jerusalem Post analysis begins.
According to the “representation” that the Israeli newspaper is trying to make, several groups of F-35s could take off with separate flight plans to strike various points in the Islamic republic as deep as 1,900 km away from Israel.
According to the publication, Israeli fighter jets could fly along Israel’s border with Syria and Turkey – despite the backlash – and then through Iraq to reach their goal. Other aircraft could move through Saudi Arabian and Persian Gulf airspace.
Iran’s air defense is the main target
The arrival in Iran could, according to the report, be done simultaneously or in waves (as Iran did by first sending the drones and then the ballistic missiles) to first neutralize Iran’s air defenses at several nuclear facilities in which will have been carefully selected Mossad and Israeli Armed Forces. “Their mission will be to neutralize Iran’s anti-aircraft defense, which is more sophisticated than that of Lebanon, Syria or Hamas,” adds the author of the article.
In addition to the F-35, it is estimated that the F-15 eagles, F-16 falcons and the bomb-equipped GBU-72 and other F-35 missiles that could hit various targets will participate in the possible Israeli strike.
The next step, according to the Jerusalem Post, could include a second wave of fighters in order to penetrate deeper into Iranian territory with the ultimate goal of the nuclear facilities at Fordow and Natanz.
“The IDF could also potentially use a significant number of surface-to-surface ballistic missiles that Israel possesses as well as surveillance and attack drones,” the article continues.
The alternate strike
As noted, however, in the analysis, the “core” of the nuclear facilities at Fordow is 80 meters underground, a depth that can only be reached by the “bunker buster” bombs in the arsenal of the US armed forces, which have denied any their supply request submitted by Israel.
However, according to the Jerusalem Post, it may not be necessary to completely destroy a facility in order to render it inactive as one could choose to cut off the power supply, “bury” the inputs and outputs and thus effectively block it from the rest of the world.
However, such an option will not be without cost “as Iran may manage to shoot down some of the Israeli fighters” although so far and despite the increased number of Israeli air operations in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza, Tel Aviv has not lost not even an F-35 and counting only the loss of an F-16 in early 2018.
Among the potential losses, the Jerusalem Post includes Mossad agents who could take part in operations on the ground for reconnaissance.
Israel could also strike the heavy metals reactor at Arak, the uranium conversion plant near Isfahan, research reactors at Bonab, Ramsar or Tehran and other facilities where Iran has moved equipment that could be used in nuclear his program.
Iran’s banks also hit
The Jerusalem Post recalls that as of mid-2023 the IDF’s counterintelligence service has set up a new unit with a single goal: to gather and examine information that could lead to a massive bank strike in Iran.
Targets in this context could be energy infrastructure facilities of the Revolutionary Guards to “kneel” in the same way used for Hamas and Hezbollah targets, adds the Jerusalem Post.
According to the protothema, closing her analysis JP notes that “the main reason for not attacking Iran for years was the blow Jerusalem could take from Hezbollah, Hamas and hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles .
Given that most of the worst-case scenarios have already played out – including in Yemen – there seems to be far less reason for an attack on Iran scenario not to play out than at any other time in decades.”
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