The 256 kilometers to the velodrome in northern France are peppered this year with 29 pavé sectors, the total length of which makes up 54.5 kilometers of the route.
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Mr. Voigt, what are the German chances of a top place in the velodrome?
Which drivers should the German fans keep an eye out for?
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Who are the favorites to win Roubaix?
Voigt: There’s no escaping the big names Mathieu van der Poel and Wout van Aert, even if every 20 years an early breakaway breaks through – although that doesn’t really happen anymore in modern, data-driven cycling. Van Aert and his whole team will be extremely motivated because they missed out on the podium in Flanders following their impressive winning streak before, which feels like a loss for them. They will line up with anger in their stomachs, develop a precise plan and drive much more dominantly than last Sunday. It’s their last chance at the cobblestone classics – and even if Van Aert doesn’t have his best day, there are two other aces in the team in Christophe Laporte and last year’s winner Dylan van Baarle.
Besides the top favourites, who can still have a say regarding the podium?
Voigt: Mads Pedersen rode a very strong race in Flanders – even though the climbs there are not ideal for a heavy rider like him. I think he will end up very far in front. Then we mustn’t forget Filippo Ganna, who sat out last week. He and his team have meticulously prepared for Paris-Roubaix. Another hot outsider for me is Alexander Kristoff. The Soudal-Quick Step team has a knife on its neck following the lack of success: I don’t want to have to sit as a driver in the team bus at the moment. They will build on Kasper Asgreen, Yves Lampaert and Tim Merlier. The pressure on them is immense, so I might imagine them trying to attack early so as not to have to do exhausting chasing work in the field.
Voigt: Yes, absolutely – no question. Because at the end of such races everyone is tired – and whoever can put even more power on the pedals is in front. The old saying applies to the profile of Paris-Roubaix: “Cobbles replace mountains”. If he sets his mind to it and says he’ll take the risk of a crash and possible retirement from the grand tours to win this monument too, then he definitely can. The form is there and his team is strong enough, we saw that in Flanders.
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How tense are the drivers before the start of such an extreme race?
Voigt: The race itself is just as close to the gladiator fights of ancient Rome as it gets in our modern times. Of course it’s not regarding life and death, but it’s regarding health. It’s a race like no other. Everyone feels the pressure at the start in Compiègne – the crowd of fans and spectators there, the sponsors who are all there on a day like this, the media… Every driver knows how extremely important his role, his task is in a race like this : Regardless of whether you should go into the breakaway group, whether you should keep pace in the field, whether you should get water bottles and rain jackets, whether you should protect and place your captain – everyone has a very important job and the winner can only win if everyone in the team performs its respective job perfectly. The strongest rider in the world might never win in Roubaix alone, he always needs a team and that’s why it’s so stressful for everyone.
Voigt: An anecdote makes this clear: we were on the team bus and everyone started taping their fingers and wrists and I thought – okay, that makes sense with the vibrations on the pavement. But then they went on and taped their shoulders and thighs. So I asked what that was all regarding and the guys said to me: The first fall only the tape comes off, only the second fall it gets the skin! This is Paris-Roubaix: the question is not whether you fall. The only question is how often and how badly you fall. There’s no other race you go into with the certainty that you’re going to fall. If you get hit just once, you’ve had a good day!
Voigt: Two words come to mind: spiteful and clever. It’s a super successful tactic because they ended up stretching the field so much and hurting the riders at the back so much that it was extremely effective. When they had accelerated once more at the front, the drivers at the back were still crawling. Reestablishing the connection then costs so much energy! You don’t make friends with it, but you want to win, it’s not a popularity contest. That’s why it was really clever, but there must have been a lot of swearing.
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