[Japan C / Chasing Diagnosis]Dry evaluation “B” in the corner of “2 strong” “Unsatisfactory, good and parallel” | SPREAD

■ Danone Beluga

[Intermediate adjustment]The Emperor’s Award in the previous race was the first in five months since the Japanese Derby. It was a battle where Panthalassa performed a spectacular escape drama, but Equinox, who cut it off, was splendid, and Danone Beluga, who was close to 3rd place behind the neck, was also a wonderful run. After that, the situation was observed in the stable, and since the recovery was going well, he declined Hong Kong in December and is preparing for the Japan Cup. Slope 15-15 on November 10th, and on the 13th, the load was gradually increased to 12 seconds 6 (horse) in the last 1F on the slopes. . Although he went around the Baba, he was the first to arrive with excellent growth of 3F 36.6 (Horse Nari).

◆[Japan Cup 2022 Forecast / Anuma Analyze Vol.3]Assassin with more than 20 times the assumption “Possibility of one shot with a targeted rotation”

[Final catch-up]There was a heavy load on all three horses last week, so this week we will make some adjustments. Instead of leading the semi-open horses, they didn’t line up, and when they advanced steadily in the middle of the riding ground, they ran through as if they were horses.

[Opinion]There is sharpness, and the gears are raised smoothly. At first glance, there seems to be no recoil from the previous run. Still, in terms of the overall load, even if there is a reflection on the overwork in the Japanese derby, there is something unsatisfactory, and it is undeniable that the camp is quite concerned. Even in the final chase, I wanted a little more sharpness at the end. Up to parallel lines at best.

Comprehensive evaluation “B”

▼ Other, catch-up diagnosis
◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]High evaluation of ambush with assumed odds of “20 times” “Possibility of big job”

◆[Catch-up diagnosis]“S” rating surpassing Shahryar

◆[Catch-up diagnosis]High evaluation “A” for GI horses who completely lost the previous race “Improved at once with a single hit”

Japan Cup 2022 prediction column list

▼ Data strategy
◆[Data capture]Facts in the “10th consecutive year” betting ticket “Signs of winning” drifting in one of the top two

◆[Data capture]Over 80% top-up rate, overthrowing GI horses “Unparalleled strength in international races”

◆[Data capture]”Hidden southpaw” of the previous race’s crushing defeat “100% win rate” causes turmoil

◆[Data capture]Favorable conditions around the expected “10 popularity” with favorable conditions exceeding “70% winning rate”

▼Anuma Predictions
◆[Anauma Analyze Vol.1]Explosive hole around 12 popularity the day before “We should hit a heavy mark here where popularity has fallen”

◆[Anauma Analyze Vol.2]A foreign horse with a win odds of “2 digits” “The background is filled with the sexiness of the camp”

◆[Anuma Analyze Vol.3]Assassin with more than 20 times the assumption “Possibility of one shot with Rote with aiming”

◆[Dangerous popular horse]GI horses waiting for a revival are “erased” “There are many “smell” materials for reversal …”

▼Jockey data
◆[Jockey data]The hard axis is also “fixed to 3rd place and has a charm” A master of the betting ticket rate of “66.7%” when the conditions are met

▼ Pedigree trend
◆[Pedigree trend]Expected “10 popularity” tailwind Matches favorable conditions of 100% betting ticket rate

▼Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]7 slots with a top 2 ratio of only 4.3% for the top two.

◆[Overseas odds]French Honest and German Tunes are highly rated by bookmakers 1 popular is Danone Beluga

◆[Tendency of leg quality]The fastest climb is only “1 win”.

◆[Previous race rotation]The center of the betting ticket is the “Autumn” group, but be wary of the unusual rotation for the first time in 9 years

◆[Popularity trend]”1 + 2 + 3 popularity” settled for 2 years in a row, but beware of “6 popularity” or less this year

◆[Video playback / Japan Cup 2021]Undefeated triple crown horse Contrail, who broke through following his father Deep Impact, finished the 5th GI win

Author profile

Takeki Nishimura (freelance writer)
A freelance writer who specializes in overtaking evaluations of racehorses and continues to write mainly for online media. Currently, he writes and is in charge of weekly reports on all the horses that run in graded prizes at UMAJIN.net “Horse Racing Salon”. He is also involved in the professional wrestling industry and has contributed articles to weekly professional wrestling publications and books.

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