[Japan C / Catch-up Diagnosis]Highly rated “A” for GI horses who completely lost their previous race “Improved at once with a single hit” | SPREAD

■ Shahryar

[Intermediate adjustment]The Emperor’s Award, the previous race, is the first race on the way home from overseas. Although the amount of boarding was sufficient, there was some dissatisfaction with the movement, and the race result was actually 5th place with a difference of 0.6 seconds. Of course, if the winner of the Dubai Sheema Classic wins, in addition to the original prize of 400 million yen, it is clear that the Japan Cup will add a bonus of 2 million dollars. The middle is being adjusted in the stable, and it is raising the sign as intended. Fukunaga jockey will be on board for the week ahead, and will be a horse on the turf course. I felt outstanding maneuverability on the road, and although the grass was easy to run, the last was sharp.

◆[Japan Cup 2022 forecast / jockey data]A solid player is also a master of “66.7%” in the betting ticket when the conditions are met.

[Final overtaking]C. Demuro jockey riding from the previous race straddled and joined on the slope. It was a time when the track was quite crowded, but I concentrated on my own running in the early stages. With a tight fold and pooling his legs, he attached to his target semi-open horse and made an annex. The response is just enough, and it’s agile enough.

[Opinion]The poor balance and lack of ambition that I felt in the previous run improved at once with a single hit. The movement and feeling are meshed together, and it is finished in a good state. The stage is the Tokyo turf 2400m, where he defeated Efforia, who had completely won the Japanese Derby. It will arrive in almost perfect condition.

Comprehensive evaluation “A”

▼ Other, catch-up diagnosis
◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]High evaluation of ambush with assumed odds of “20 times” “Possibility of big job”

◆[Catch-up diagnosis]“S” rating surpassing Shahryar

◆[Catch-up diagnosis]Dry evaluation “B” in the corner of “2 strong” “Unsatisfactory, good and parallel”

Japan Cup 2022 prediction column list

▼ Data strategy
◆[Data capture]Facts in the “10th consecutive year” betting ticket “Signs of winning” drifting in one of the top two

◆[Data capture]Over 80% top-up rate, overthrowing GI horses “Unparalleled strength in international races”

◆[Data capture]”Hidden southpaw” of the previous race’s crushing defeat “100% win rate” causes turmoil

◆[Data capture]Favorable conditions around the expected “10 popularity” with favorable conditions exceeding “70% winning rate”

▼Anuma Predictions
◆[Anauma Analyze Vol.1]Explosive hole around 12 popularity the day before “We should hit a heavy mark here where popularity has fallen”

◆[Anauma Analyze Vol.2]A foreign horse with a win odds of “2 digits” “The background is filled with the sexiness of the camp”

◆[Anuma Analyze Vol.3]Assassin with more than 20 times the assumption “Possibility of one shot with Rote with aiming”

◆[Dangerous popular horse]GI horses waiting for a revival are “erased” “There are many “smell” materials for reversal …”

▼Jockey data
◆[Jockey data]The hard axis is also “fixed to 3rd place and has a charm” A master of the betting ticket rate of “66.7%” when the conditions are met

▼ Pedigree trend
◆[Pedigree trend]Expected “10 popularity” tailwind Matches favorable conditions of 100% betting ticket rate

▼Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Frame order]7 slots with a top 2 ratio of only 4.3% for the top two.

◆[Overseas odds]French Honest and German Tunes are highly rated by bookmakers 1 popular is Danone Beluga

◆[Tendency of leg quality]The fastest climb is only “1 win”.

◆[Previous race rotation]The center of the betting ticket is the “Autumn” group, but be wary of the unusual rotation for the first time in 9 years

◆[Popularity trend]”1 + 2 + 3 popularity” settled for 2 years in a row, but beware of “6 popularity” or less this year

◆[Video playback / Japan Cup 2021]Undefeated triple crown horse Contrail, who broke through following his father Deep Impact, finished the 5th GI win

Author profile

Takeki Nishimura (freelance writer)
A freelance writer who specializes in overtaking evaluations of racehorses and continues to write mainly for online media. Currently, he writes and is in charge of weekly reports on all the horses that run in graded prizes at UMAJIN.net “Horse Racing Salon”. He is also involved in the professional wrestling industry and has contributed articles to weekly professional wrestling publications and books.

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