Israeli Strategic Transformation and Iranian Response: Analysis and Impact

2024-04-06 09:13:19

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From the site of the attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus at the beginning of this month

2 hours ago

We begin the press tour with the attack that targeted the Iranian consulate in Damascus, which resulted in the killing of a prominent leader in the Quds Force and several Iranian military advisors, and the possibilities of an Iranian response to the attack that Israel was accused of carrying out.

Starting with the daily newspaper “Tehran Times”, which published an article entitled “How should Iran respond to the recent aggression of the Zionist regime?” Iranian writer Mohammad Mehdi Rahmati provided a context for the main goals set by Israel to deal with the challenges caused by the October 7 attack, which are “Destroying Hamas, making Gaza a territory without Palestinian sovereignty, and presenting evidence of anti-Semitism and Israel’s position as a victim.”

The writer says that Israel’s failure to achieve these goals left Netanyahu with the only remaining option, which was to involve Iran in the confrontation, as something that would help Netanyahu remain in power for a longer period, under the justifications of “deterrence in West Asia.”

According to the article, this desire is not reciprocated by either Iran or the United States, which made it clear that they have no plans for direct confrontation, as Iran declares that the resistance movements are independent and strong enough to control their decisions and deal with potential developments.

In light of these facts, the author proposes conditions that help Iran’s policy to deal with this stage of the conflict:

First, having the correct analysis and protecting human resources, and the necessity of believing that Iran is currently waging a comprehensive war, as the writer put it, considering that the assassination of an important leader is not the end of the road, but it is also something that is not easy to compensate for, and at a time when “the recent attack on Damascus demonstrated “The Zionist regime does not adhere to any principle, and that diplomatic sites are not immune to aggression,” the writer calls for the protection of human resources as “the most valuable assets.”

In the second condition, the writer pays attention to what he describes as one of the old weaknesses, which is the failure to follow legal and diplomatic prosecution methods, calling for the presence of active teams that cooperate closely with other countries to confront “these atrocities” and support Iran’s rights in international forums.

Rahmati believes that the third condition includes defining red lines, crossing them means serious repercussions, as Iran’s strategic policy of strengthening resistance fronts in the region while avoiding involvement in the Gaza war, and although it is completely correct in the writer’s point of view, it may send… Wrong messages regarding the presence of excessive hedging prevailing in Tehran, which Netanyahu might exploit to launch strong strikes once morest Iran to strengthen his power.

On the last point, the writer says that the assumption that the Iranian media and public opinion should accurately reflect official policies and programs to confront Israel’s transgressions is incorrect. Considering that the concern that media demands may lead to the emergence of public demands that cannot be achieved or conflict with official policies, is also incorrect.

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An Iranian man waves the flags of Iran and Palestine during a march marking Quds Day in Tehran

“Israeli Strategic Transformation”

Regarding the same file, but in the Israeli newspaper The Jerusalem Post, writer David Weinberg discusses what he called “Israel’s strategic transformation” following the Iranian consulate was directly targeted in Damascus.

He says: “This week’s assassination in Damascus – apparently at the hands of Israel – of General Mohammad Reza Zahedi… was long overdue,” as Israel can no longer “suffice with fighting Iran’s proxies, but must instead target Iran.” Itself in response to Tehran’s major role in the current attacks on Israel and the destabilization of the region.

The writer then reviews the “reality” of the Iranian proxy war, arguing once morest the US administration, which he describes as misinterpreting Tehran’s behaviour.

Weinberg begins his article with an introduction regarding the American position, and says, “Washington blindly, wrongly, and intentionally asserts that Iran lacks full control over its agents, and refuses to blame Iran for all of its escalatory scandals…and prefers to be nice and dream that Iran will calm down,” asserting that the administration Joe Biden was quick to reassure Tehran this week that it had no prior knowledge or responsibility for the killing of General Mohammad Radhi Zahedi.

The author then describes the American strategy of “restoring confidence with Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei to pave the way toward a return to the failed nuclear agreement that former President Barack Obama concluded with Iran and to avoid further conflict with Iranian-backed rebels in Iraq and Yemen who threaten American forces and shipping.” and global security,” according to the article.

As part of his demand for an American strategy to confront “Iranian evil influence and hegemonic ambitions,” Weinberg begins to review Iran’s dangers in the region, and says, “Iran is creating a control corridor – a Shiite land bridge – that extends from the Arabian (Persian) Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea… which gives it A broad strategic base for aggression throughout the region… and it is establishing air and naval bases on the Mediterranean and the Red Sea, especially in Syria, to display its regional power.”

The writer accuses Iran of working to provoke sabotage in Middle Eastern countries allied with the West, including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan.

The writer says that at a time when Iran’s military capabilities are growing, it is working to strengthen its relations with Russia and China, and to strengthen its relations with Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, and Armenia, as part of a unified front once morest what it calls “the Great Satan, which is America, and the Little Satan, which is Israel.” .

The writer says that what is missing is “the American strategy to combat the evil influence and hegemonic ambitions of the mullahs’ regime,” considering that Israel, for all the previous reasons, cannot ignore the “pincer” war that Iran is waging once morest Israel, surrounding it with rings of suffocating fire, and seeking to weaken and destroy Israel. .

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Members of the bomb team carry parts of a missile following a Russian missile attack on Kiev (archive)

“Ukraine’s strikes once morest Russia will not determine the outcome of the war, but they are important.”

The editorial board of the American newspaper The Wall Street Journal reviewed the contradiction in President Joe Biden’s policy towards the war in Ukraine, in an article entitled “Biden asks Ukraine not to attack Russia.”

The article considered that Biden’s recent demand for Kiev to stop its campaign targeting Russian refineries means that he has provided enough weapons to avoid Ukraine’s defeat, but with restrictions that prevent Kiev from winning the war.

The article states that Ukraine has struck “at least 15 of Russia’s 30 major refineries since January. The West has been reluctant to let Ukraine use donated weapons to strike Russian territory, so Kiev has relied on its own drones to do so.”

But in response to these strikes, the Biden administration warned that “drone attacks risk raising global oil prices and sparking a desire for retaliation.”

Then the newspaper’s editorial board asks: “So, Ukraine has to suffer attacks on its territory, but be unable to respond to the aggressor?”, and adds: “Striking Russian air bases and drone installations has clear military value, and it is clear that “Russian oil refineries help fuel and finance the Kremlin’s war machine.”

Regarding the importance of striking Russian refining facilities, the article considers that the goal of these strikes is to complicate Russia’s efforts to supply its forces with fuel, “Although the strikes launched by Ukraine on Russia will not determine the outcome of the war, they are important because Ukraine’s dwindling ammunition and air defenses limit other options.” “.

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