Tel Aviv.-Israel will respond to the attack of 300 drones and missiles that the Iranian regime launched on Saturday once morest its territory, but the military operation would not be imminent.
It is also not clear what type of retaliation Jerusalem will take, although at this time it is speculated that it will be more moderate than initially believed. The idea of the government and its allies is not to further escalate the crisis unleashed in the Middle East following the Hamas terrorist massacre that occurred on October 7.
Different sources consulted by Infobae indicated that it was likely that Benjamin Netanyahu’s government would wait for the end of Passover – the Jewish Passover, one of the most important celebrations on the calendar – to activate the military plan once morest Iran. These festivities, which commemorate the liberation of the Hebrew people from Egypt, begin on Monday, April 22, and end on Tuesday, April 30.
An Israeli analyst asked what he thought the Israeli response might be explained, without ruling out an all-out attack: “It’s hard to know. At the moment it is delayed following Pesach. That retaliation will take into account pressure from the United States. So it might be softer than necessary, maybe not kinetic.” The expert, whose identity remains confidential, was referring to the fact that the operation might be unconventional. Israel is weighing alternatives to a bombing, although it has not been ruled out.
A cyber attack? A Mossad operation? They are alternatives that remain on the table. “These are some of the options to minimize retaliation and not sign a signature.” The Houthis – financed by the theocracy of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – already feel the presence of the Israeli intelligence services in their territory. The rebels complain and assure that spies are already in southern Yemen to help their opponents. “This, without knowing if it is true or not, shows the psychological pressure to which the different players are subjected.”
The option of a cyberattack would have social consequences that would fuel internal unrest in Iran. Last December, 70 percent of Iranian gas stations stopped working. Tehran blamed the United States and Israel for the disruption. But it was never proven who was behind those technical defects. The digital blows might multiply this time: not only gas stations, but also power plants, water, transportation, the internet.
Joe Biden called Netanyahu when he believed the time was right to do so. He dissuaded him from replicating the Iranian attack directly and immediately. This Wednesday, the public channel Kan offered a semi-official version of what happened. “The response will no longer be as expected; “They have overcome diplomatic sensitivities,” a high-level government source told the news network. “There will be a response, but it seems it will be different than expected.”
On Monday, the Israeli war cabinet had other plans: to directly attack Iranian soil in response to the rain of drones and missiles that it managed to contain with the help of the United States, the United Kingdom, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. It was revealed by the Axios news site, which cited sources who said that a bombing of Iran would have triggered another attack by the Shiite regime. It has not yet been reported what stopped that operation, the second in 48 hours.
Faced with the imminence of an attack, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard threatened to use the nuclear card. According to the official Tasnim agency, Iran might “review its nuclear doctrine.” This was said by Ahmad Haghtalab, one of the top commanders of that force, considered a terrorist group by several countries. “A review of our nuclear doctrine and policy, as well as the previously communicated considerations, is entirely possible,” the military officer warned. Tehran has always claimed that its nuclear program is for civilian purposes, although there are serious objections to this claim.
If a total confrontation with Tehran occurs, Israel would have three open fronts: to the south in Gaza once morest Hamas, to the north in Lebanon once morest Hezbollah, in addition to the bombings coming from Iran. Too many and costly simultaneous fights, something that perhaps Jerusalem’s enemies hope will happen.Infobae.
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2024-04-20 16:02:14